0x5bc4D9adDd8597eb34e255d97c194f4D78Bf44f
0x5bc4d9addd8597eb34e255d97cc194f4d78bf44f
- Realised P&L
- $-17.7k
- Volume
- $4.08M
- Markets traded
- 3,033
- Open portfolio
- $3.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,033
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.8kat 0.063Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$6.4kat 0.419Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$4.1kat 0.115Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$3.5kat 0.266Opinion FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$2.7kat 0.390Sharks vs. Panthers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-21 14:46 | Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.46 | $343.80 |
| 08-20 22:58 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8405462924 | $1.7k |
| 08-20 10:10 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.85 | $340.00 |
| 08-20 10:07 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.851 | $555.22 |
| 08-20 10:07 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8624041812 | $247.51 |
| 08-13 02:14 | Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.05 | $39.96 |
| 08-13 02:13 | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $91.83 |
| 08-13 02:13 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $33.75 |
| 07-31 11:39 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $446.84 |
| 07-19 11:35 | Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $152.39 |
| 07-19 11:34 | Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $191.57 |
| 07-08 23:00 | Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.05 | $74.39 |
| 07-07 20:11 | Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.1570789814 | $131.02 |
| 06-25 22:56 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.3109999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-25 22:55 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5984900986 | $200.00 |