PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5bc4D9adDd8597eb34e255d97c194f4D78Bf44f

0x5bc4d9addd8597eb34e255d97cc194f4d78bf44f

Realised P&L
$-17.7k
Volume
$4.08M
Markets traded
3,033
Open portfolio
$3.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded3,033
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration18.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.5740.645$1.1k+$121.51
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? · Yes0.3100.745$744.98+$434.99
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1470.182$740.56+$145.30
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0840.105$527.50+$107.50
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.3920.870$348.95+$191.85
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0500.064$157.98+$33.59
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes0.1950.080$79.50$115.50
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.1400.145$25.38+$0.88
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0130.004$23.18$41.78
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.5000.221$2.21$2.79
Kings vs. Celtics · Kings0.1850.000$0.00$739.99
Bucks vs. Mavericks · Mavericks0.4420.000$0.00$221.00
Will Lazio win on 2025-11-03? · No0.4000.000$0.00$160.00
Spread: Steelers (-5.5) · Steelers0.5000.000$0.00$500.00
Panthers vs. Red Wings · Panthers0.5600.000$0.00$392.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-21 14:46Base FDV above $2B one day after launch?SELL0.46$343.80
08-20 22:58Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.8405462924$1.7k
08-20 10:10Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.85$340.00
08-20 10:07Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.851$555.22
08-20 10:07Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.8624041812$247.51
08-13 02:14Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026?SELL0.05$39.96
08-13 02:13Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.06$91.83
08-13 02:13Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.06$33.75
07-31 11:39Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.6$446.84
07-19 11:35Will the Republicans win the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.09$152.39
07-19 11:34Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?SELL0.09$191.57
07-08 23:00Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.05$74.39
07-07 20:11Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1570789814$131.02
06-25 22:56Will Sweden win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.3109999993$200.00
06-25 22:55Will Japan win on 2026-06-25?BUY0.5984900986$200.00