0x3E4a072Bf427421A34a9b085c0A8796c7Da7DCed-1730836150436
0x3e4a072bf427421a34a9b085c0a8796c7da7dced
- Realised P&L
- $-13.44
- Volume
- $11.0k
- Markets traded
- 92
- Open portfolio
- $3.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded92
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.77at 0.716Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$90.63at 0.185Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers?
- +$34.80at 0.287Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$24.85at 0.172World Championships: Canada vs. Finland
- +$21.07at 0.170Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 17:01 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.34 | $5.10 |
| 10-12 10:21 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.65 | $94.90 |
| 10-06 02:36 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.65 | $104.00 |
| 10-01 11:45 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.71 | $92.30 |
| 09-28 06:30 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.68 | $74.80 |
| 09-28 06:28 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.9908046647 | $33.98 |
| 09-27 18:17 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.2m & 4.4m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.16 |
| 09-26 15:20 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.71 | $81.65 |
| 09-25 15:00 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.74 | $22.20 |
| 09-25 12:26 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 09-22 18:08 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.75 | $82.50 |
| 09-16 08:47 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 09-13 13:04 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 13:03 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 09-11 08:00 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.983 | $20.35 |