0x3E4a072Bf427421A34a9b085c0A8796c7Da7DCed-1730836150436
0x3e4a072bf427421a34a9b085c0a8796c7da7dced
- Realised P&L
- $500.84
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 91
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded91
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$112.77at 0.716Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
- +$34.80at 0.287Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$24.85at 0.172World Championships: Canada vs. Finland
- +$21.07at 0.170Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$17.00at 0.174Will Finland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 08:47 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 09-13 13:04 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.13 |
| 09-13 13:03 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 09-11 08:00 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | SELL | 0.983 | $20.35 |
| 09-10 10:32 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.77 | $8.61 |
| 09-10 10:32 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.77 | $61.52 |
| 09-04 04:18 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.79 | $55.30 |
| 08-30 09:42 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.79 | $42.66 |
| 08-23 13:07 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.65 |
| 08-22 17:18 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.91 | $50.05 |
| 08-22 17:17 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.76 | $45.60 |
| 08-16 08:20 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.7 | $147.00 |
| 08-09 08:00 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.231 | $1.83 |
| 08-09 07:59 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.6m & 4.8m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.73 |
| 08-09 07:59 | Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be between 4.4m & 4.6m square kilometers? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |