MrVatana
0x7f855dd2f62f46a6cb48620e1fc138f5ddf58693
- Realised P&L
- $1.8k
- Volume
- $7.18M
- Markets traded
- 452
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded452
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.781Will the government shutdown end November 12?
- +$1.9kat 0.743Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$1.9kat 0.345Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$1.5kat 0.526Will the December 2024 temperature increase be between 1.25-1.29°C?
- +$1.1kat 0.600Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-15 03:41 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.028 | $8.32 |
| 04-15 03:41 | Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? | BUY | 0.027 | $3.34 |
| 04-15 03:38 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET | BUY | 0.1 | $1.74 |
| 04-08 01:40 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.004 | $12.00 |
| 03-08 11:51 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.004 | $2.36 |
| 03-08 11:50 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $16.28 |
| 03-08 05:03 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.23 | $12.68 |
| 03-08 04:47 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.4012553184 | $110.34 |
| 03-08 04:41 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.03 | $9.00 |
| 03-08 04:40 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.43 | $10.75 |
| 03-08 04:38 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.25 | $11.21 |
| 03-08 04:10 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.16 | $48.00 |
| 03-07 10:02 | Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 8, 2026? | BUY | 0.003 | $0.14 |
| 03-06 01:23 | Will Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in March? | BUY | 0.0298833333 | $8.96 |
| 03-06 01:21 | Will Paradex launch a token on March 5? | BUY | 0.002 | $2.00 |