russell110320
0x118689b24aead1d6e9507b8068d056b2ec4f051b
- Realised P&L
- $81.2k
- Volume
- $2.04M
- Markets traded
- 216
- Open portfolio
- $33.9k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded216
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.3kat 0.759Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?
- +$8.4kat 0.700Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?
- +$8.3kat 0.233Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in February 2026?
- +$8.1kat 0.306Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in December 2025?
- +$7.9kat 0.6702025 August third hottest on record?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 11:19 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.88 | $880.00 |
| 09-15 12:19 | Will global temperature increase by less than 1.30ºC in September 2026? | BUY | 0.89 | $19.76 |
| 09-15 12:19 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.30ºC and 1.34ºC in September 2026? | BUY | 0.805746882 | $140.19 |
| 09-12 13:21 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.48 | $26.88 |
| 09-12 11:35 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 14? | BUY | 0.49 | $68.11 |
| 09-10 19:02 | Will Seattle have less than 1 inch of precipitation in September? | BUY | 0.5155555556 | $83.52 |
| 09-08 10:49 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.9586885246 | $175.44 |
| 09-07 16:12 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.72 | $5.3k |
| 09-06 15:17 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.7582636874 | $2.2k |
| 09-05 14:12 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.8760842812 | $46.98 |
| 09-05 14:11 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.8678947368 | $164.90 |
| 09-05 00:05 | Will September 2026 be the 3rd hottest on record? | BUY | 0.8752112676 | $161.56 |
| 09-03 20:41 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.42ºC and 1.45ºC in August 2026? | SELL | 0.8984594 | $449.23 |
| 09-02 12:56 | Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.3k |
| 08-30 12:47 | Will global temperature increase by between 1.38ºC and 1.41ºC in August 2026? | BUY | 0.6233094319 | $90.40 |