PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will 190-209 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between September 14-September 20?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
None on this market
Ends
2026-09-20
Resolves by
https://portwatch.imf.org/pages/6b1814d64903461b98144a6cc25eb79c
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.21. down 0.05 over the period, from 0.26. Range 0.07 to 0.42. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.22512512
0.23409921
0.249930
0.2610939
0.279948
0.2811958
0.2933991
0.30121,003
0.31151,018
0.32561,074
0.33981,173
0.342701,442

Spread0.01Mid0.21

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.21295295
0.20436731
0.198111,542
0.18621,604
0.17301,634
0.142001,834
0.12581,892
0.11731,965
0.10321,997
0.031202,117
0.01452,163

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.79295295
0.80436731
0.818111,542
0.82621,604
0.83301,634
0.862001,834
0.88581,892
0.89731,965
0.90321,997
0.971202,117
0.99452,163

Spread0.01Mid0.79

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.78512512
0.77409921
0.769930
0.7410939
0.739948
0.7211958
0.7133991
0.70121,003
0.69151,018
0.68561,074
0.67981,173
0.662701,442

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
balthazarYes700
shiifooYes115
gabriellelangerYes110.03
0x43cb4Ae1f4dDC9E671486C79c9F40A6fd98B84Df-1761656284271Yes99.99
LornaPredictsYes76.29
0x3a9d…f332Yes55.04
dsfd3Yes50
0x1894B184374aB530Eacd0A55477f2253BEafA936-1780076507354Yes36
0x76f8…7be5Yes27.27
0x1B15D2193E4eac1dDDa50Fd22511c511235196D4-1772364148568Yes26
scherahmedaYes25
JAMJAMJAM4Yes25
AJSVYes23.44
aliizYes21
RespireYes20
FleursYes16.67
donthackmeYes11.62
pootytherewardfarmerYes11
0x2558…2428Yes9.52
0x5fa7…f18eYes9.52

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
23:24:51SELLYes0.2120$4.20
21:37:12BUYYes0.2199999789$2.00
21:36:18BUYNo0.78999999056$5.00
21:34:54BUYYes0.2199999785$1.00
21:34:49BUYYes0.2199999789$2.00
21:34:46BUYYes0.2199999789$2.00
21:34:43BUYYes0.219999994127$6.00
20:54:52BUYYes0.2199999789$2.00
20:54:49BUYNo0.78999981772$1.30
20:53:58BUYNo0.78999986573$2.00
20:52:25BUYNo0.78999986571$1.00
20:52:19BUYNo0.78999986573$2.00
13:44:55BUYYes0.225$1.10
12:59:37BUYYes0.226$1.32
12:59:31SELLNo0.781$0.42
12:59:30SELLNo0.781$0.42
12:48:54SELLYes0.213$0.71
12:31:28BUYYes0.225$1.10
07:11:15BUYYes0.225$1.10
06:46:33BUYYes0.225$1.10
06:29:28BUYYes0.215$1.05
06:14:49BUYNo0.83$2.00
06:04:30BUYYes0.20999998586$1.18
05:18:33BUYYes0.209999989510$2.00
05:18:33BUYNo0.83$2.00