0x2558b0ca0a01c113fb6016df02fa1ab4dc8a2428
- Realised P&L
- $0.53
- Volume
- $69.52
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $22.32
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample10 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 1.000 | $3.28 | +$1.28 |
| Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.997 | $3.02 | +$1.02 |
| Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.978 | $2.64 | +$0.64 |
| Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.810 | $2.43 | +$0.81 |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.245 | $2.13 | +$0.13 |
| Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? · No | 0.790 | 0.805 | $2.04 | +$0.04 |
| Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · No | 0.590 | 0.585 | $1.98 | −$0.02 |
| Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? · Yes | 0.630 | 0.645 | $1.97 | +$0.05 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No | 0.430 | 0.375 | $1.74 | −$0.26 |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.415 | $1.06 | −$0.94 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.55at 0.440Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.420Will Trump say "Grocery" or "Dairy" during Michigan remarks?
- +$0.00at 0.500New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?
- +$0.00at 0.500Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
- +$-0.04at 0.510Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 10:15 | Will Trump say "Hell" 8+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.5899999675 | $2.00 |
| 08-04 02:15 | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 18:14 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (LOW) $2.70 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6099999786 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 10:03 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (HIGH) $132 Week of August 3 2026? | BUY | 0.6599998944 | $2.00 |
| 08-03 01:18 | Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.7299999087 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 17:15 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.7399997262 | $2.00 |
| 08-02 07:58 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999505 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 23:51 | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026? | BUY | 0.78 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 15:49 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999296 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 07:13 | Will ISM Services PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in July? | BUY | 0.7899996998 | $2.00 |
| 07-31 23:06 | New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.53 |
| 07-31 15:05 | Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? | BUY | 0.5099999268 | $1.95 |
| 07-31 06:48 | Will the US Trade Deficit be between $70 billion and $80 billion in June 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $1.62 |
| 07-30 05:10 | Will USA Today (TDAY) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.6299998884 | $1.92 |
| 07-29 06:53 | Will Warsh say "Bet" or "Betting" during July Press Conference? | BUY | 0.6699999498 | $1.87 |