PolyBot

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Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?

Tick
0.001
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-10

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.042. up 0.001 over the period, from 0.041. Range 0.040 to 0.045. 168 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.0522727
0.060532
0.0714072
0.07230102
0.0756108
0.0775113
0.09063176
0.092403579
0.093242821
0.09426847
0.10340887
0.10426913

Spread0.021Mid0.041

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.03122
0.0284042
0.0273880
0.026585
0.02015100
0.01615115
0.011200315
0.010200515
0.00313528
0.0022,9423,470
0.00111,20614,676

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.96922
0.9724042
0.9733880
0.974585
0.98015100
0.98415115
0.989200315
0.990200515
0.99713528
0.9982,9423,470
0.99911,20614,676

Spread0.021Mid0.958

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.9482727
0.940532
0.9294072
0.92830102
0.9256108
0.9235113
0.91063176
0.908403579
0.907242821
0.90626847
0.89740887
0.89626913

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Jgyuig34Yes975.95
planktonXDYes402.86
cry.eth2Yes187.6
AJSVYes132.31
2B9SYes81.18
jennylulu2016Yes62
48xsdsYes58.86
LornaPredictsYes55.24
0x06d898dd11C4c1ffcA1F91c2c47f6E379b4C9446-1776245316934Yes55
donthackmeYes47.48
wozaitaibeiYes45
iiiijiijjijiijiiiiYes37
0x4ffa…3e2eYes33.38
mehanizatorYes31.17
nc3iceibvtvetvbtYes28.31
human.beanYes20.97
FlashTradeOracleYes20.41
HaradwaithYes20.1
PillarChanYes17.71
86fghYes17.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
04:09:24BUYNo0.96910$9.69
17:50:16BUYNo0.96956$54.26
17:50:13BUYNo0.968398148154$52.29
13:52:58BUYNo0.9525$4.76
21:17:14SELLYes0.0327$0.21
21:16:24SELLYes0.03520$0.70
21:09:35BUYYes0.03527$0.93
07:25:59BUYNo0.96930$29.07
11:10:18SELLYes0.0314$0.12
12:09:02BUYNo0.96915$14.54
13:54:57BUYNo0.9689999978$7.47
11:37:19BUYNo0.96955$53.24
08:12:33BUYNo0.96920$19.48
08:12:33BUYNo0.9697$7.13
12:03:28BUYNo0.96799999855$5.11
12:03:22BUYNo0.9669330$29.01
06:12:29BUYYes0.056469139318$1.00
16:12:28BUYNo0.96975$72.67
16:12:28BUYNo0.968999999648$46.30
16:12:26BUYNo0.969117$113.28
16:12:26BUYNo0.968999999211$10.54
10:12:52BUYNo0.96912$11.63
11:46:52BUYNo0.9696$5.81
11:46:52BUYNo0.968107333330$29.04
08:37:46SELLYes0.03214$0.44