US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?

Tick: 0.01
Min order: 5
Fees: None on this market
Ends: 2026-08-14
Rewards: 200 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.68. up 0.07 over the period, from 0.60. Range 0.32 to 0.69. 139 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.68	381	381
0.69	5,954	6,335
0.70	2,260	8,594
0.71	1,678	10,272
0.72	1,500	11,772
0.73	885	12,657
0.74	1,424	14,081
0.75	1,006	15,087
0.76	1,024	16,111
0.77	21	16,132
0.78	86	16,219
0.79	129	16,347

Spread0.01Mid0.68

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.67	10	10
0.66	99	109
0.65	507	615
0.64	821	1,436
0.63	400	1,836
0.62	362	2,198
0.61	576	2,774
0.60	1,208	3,982
0.59	1,242	5,224
0.58	624	5,848
0.57	1,000	6,848
0.56	1,092	7,940

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.33	10	10
0.34	99	109
0.35	507	615
0.36	821	1,436
0.37	400	1,836
0.38	362	2,198
0.39	576	2,774
0.40	1,208	3,982
0.41	1,242	5,224
0.42	624	5,848
0.43	1,000	6,848
0.44	1,092	7,940

Spread0.01Mid0.33

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.32	381	381
0.31	5,954	6,335
0.30	2,260	8,594
0.29	1,678	10,272
0.28	1,500	11,772
0.27	885	12,657
0.26	1,424	14,081
0.25	1,006	15,087
0.24	1,024	16,111
0.23	21	16,132
0.22	86	16,219
0.21	129	16,347

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
eCash	Yes	13,803.62
Tenebrus7	Yes	9,211.01
Melody626	Yes	8,552.41
Lolakis	Yes	8,395.5
ImJustKen	Yes	7,499.99
SeniorLaghetto	Yes	7,377.1
yuhyuhyuhy352352	Yes	7,115.57
paddaa	Yes	7,059.21
Dragontree	Yes	4,621.57
truthteller	Yes	4,379.34
denizz	Yes	3,156.9
CosmicCedar	Yes	2,999.97
KioskJammer	Yes	2,692.74
blunderbot	Yes	2,683.8
0x696de7b6e43f45378f60402b9fccff9c7484f89	Yes	2,682.9
BloodyMummer	Yes	2,289.36
mrkinetiq	Yes	2,201.61
BlackJellyfish	Yes	1,799.64
bahibahibahi	Yes	1,789.81
GollumGekko	Yes	1,366.89

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
21:56:41	SELL	No	0.32	24	$7.70
21:55:59	BUY	No	0.32	10	$3.20
21:55:08	BUY	Yes	0.69	21	$14.49
21:50:20	SELL	No	0.31	16	$5.06
21:50:20	SELL	No	0.31	16	$5.00
21:49:47	BUY	Yes	0.69	14	$9.85
21:48:15	BUY	Yes	0.6797829587	2,683	$1823.79
21:48:12	BUY	Yes	0.67	15	$9.86
21:48:02	BUY	No	0.36	10	$3.53
21:48:02	BUY	Yes	0.67	37	$24.70
21:48:00	BUY	Yes	0.6699999906	17	$11.37
21:48:00	BUY	Yes	0.6682224982	3,741	$2500.00
21:47:56	SELL	Yes	0.63	17	$10.80
21:46:12	BUY	Yes	0.66	3	$1.70
21:46:11	BUY	Yes	0.6497213057	427	$277.66
21:44:44	BUY	Yes	0.64	3	$2.02
21:44:42	BUY	Yes	0.6358076766	537	$341.57
21:44:02	BUY	Yes	0.6299999915	32	$20.00
21:40:47	BUY	Yes	0.6292210416	1,446	$909.55
21:40:08	SELL	Yes	0.6	5	$3.00
21:40:06	BUY	No	0.4	25	$10.00
21:38:57	BUY	Yes	0.6	15	$9.22
21:38:42	SELL	Yes	0.59	1	$0.68
21:38:42	SELL	Yes	0.59	4	$2.56
21:38:41	SELL	Yes	0.59	1	$0.59