CosmicCedar
0xdacf9f8d0341fa3770fae5c7ccd9dcfed23e3c74
- Realised P&L
- $29.9k
- Volume
- $3.56M
- Markets traded
- 6,763
- Open portfolio
- $34.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,763
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.9kat 0.010Will Naomi Osaka advance to the Quarterfinals in Women's Singles at the 2026 US Open?
- +$5.8kat 0.535Will Beef win the 2025 Internet Invitational?
- +$5.3kat 0.594Golden State Valkyries vs. Atlanta Dream
- +$4.8kat 0.085Will Don Mattingly be the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies?
- +$4.3kat 0.001Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:57 | Will the Patriots win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | BUY | 0.4870422535 | $34.58 |
| 11-01 10:48 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.61 |
| 11-01 10:20 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.7103902439 | $36.41 |
| 11-01 08:18 | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Warren Buffett by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9892063983 | $47.93 |
| 11-01 08:07 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 07:52 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 07:51 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 07:51 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.20 |
| 11-01 07:49 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 11-01 07:43 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.10 |
| 11-01 07:40 | Will Zach LaVine play for the Sacramento Kings in 2026-27? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.06 |
| 11-01 06:24 | Will Fresno State have more than 4.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 06:09 | Will Boise State have more than 6.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.999 | $69.93 |
| 11-01 06:09 | Will Texas State have more than 8.5 wins during the 2026 CFB season? | BUY | 0.9981892692 | $1.5k |
| 11-01 05:46 | Texas State vs. Boise State | BUY | 0.5895657439 | $340.77 |