PolyBot

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Traders

CosmicCedar

0xdacf9f8d0341fa3770fae5c7ccd9dcfed23e3c74

Realised P&L
$19.7k
Volume
$2.89M
Markets traded
5,227
Open portfolio
$25.3k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded5,227
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration20.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7600.835$5.0k+$450.00
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? · Yes0.8990.980$1.9k+$153.42
Will the longest winning streak during the 2026 MLB season be 13-15 games? · Yes0.4740.959$1.3k+$652.64
Will the Colorado Rockies win more than 65.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 65.50.9800.988$1.0k+$7.65
Will Detroit Tigers advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · No0.9090.998$929.68+$82.59
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 20, 2026? · No0.8070.969$881.52+$147.46
Will Canada participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.9410.930$809.70$9.68
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 17, 2026? · No0.8500.990$641.24+$90.40
Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 AL Central title? · Yes0.6500.483$639.09$220.73
Will Harry Shum Jr. be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No0.9971.000$616.83+$1.52
Will Yordan Alvarez hit 40 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? · Yes0.8260.850$614.80+$17.53
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win more than 83.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season? · U 83.50.9050.993$516.88+$45.70
Will Minnesota Twins advance to the ALCS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs? · No0.9770.997$514.79+$10.18
Will Jackson Olson be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No0.9971.000$505.00+$1.32
Will Connor Wood be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35? · No0.9971.000$504.99+$1.32

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:56Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 17, 2026?BUY0.9550432277$39.77
09-17 04:50Will Jaume Martinez Vich advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.45$9.00
09-17 04:50Will Andrei Daescu advance to the Quarterfinals in Men's Singles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.43$8.60
09-17 04:39Will Jaume Martinez Vich / Christopher Haworth advance to the Round of 16 in Men's Doubles at the 2026 Veolia Arizona Open?BUY0.8851923077$184.12
09-17 04:23Will the next Claude Opus model be released by September 30, 2026?BUY0.82$32.80
09-17 04:23Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?BUY0.12$4.80
09-17 04:20Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$49.08
09-17 04:17Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 AL East title?BUY0.9988129625$391.43
09-17 02:07Will Sarah Jane Nader be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$143.10
09-17 02:03Will Tatyana Ali be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$33.48
09-17 02:03Will Giada De Laurentiis be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.9877940491$148.40
09-17 02:03Will Sarah Jane Nader be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$33.48
09-17 02:02Will Ciara Miller be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$82.57
09-17 02:02Will Julia Stiles be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$82.57
09-17 02:01Will Maura Higgins be eliminated in week 1 of Dancing With The Stars: Season 35?BUY0.99$82.57