PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

truthteller

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102

Realised P&L
$132.6k
Volume
$149.35M
Markets traded
2,521
Open portfolio
$25.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,521
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration64.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0330.116$16.4k+$11.7k
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2000.163$4.9k$1.1k
Will Elissa Slotkin win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0030.002$1.2k$833.24
Situational Awareness announces fund wind-down by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1230.065$991.13$882.41
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.003$442.33+$30.26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0260.011$371.01$568.26
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0140.018$314.79+$60.58
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0630.013$227.94$828.24
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · No0.0860.052$152.13$98.99
Will Steve Bannon win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.0020.002$138.52$17.64
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · Yes0.1820.065$117.91$212.88
Will Ethereum reach $3,200 in September? · Yes0.0730.030$99.00$140.92
Will Ethereum reach $3,100 in September? · Yes0.1200.038$78.50$166.60
Will Ethereum reach $3,300 in September? · Yes0.0630.018$53.26$132.66
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0040.004$38.76$5.97

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 22:17Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting?SELL0.0146785757$212.81
09-16 07:14Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.12$26.64
09-16 07:14Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.12$28.20
09-16 07:14Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.12$179.52
09-16 06:03Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0518004144$828.81
09-16 06:00Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.05$100.00
09-16 06:00Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0499354821$1.4k
09-16 05:59Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.0489551494$881.19
09-16 02:17Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.12$2.7k
09-15 20:50Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.05$1.7k
09-15 19:25Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?SELL0.09$589.95
09-15 19:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.09$39.09
09-15 19:24Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?SELL0.09$4.6k
09-14 21:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.19$691.47
09-14 18:39Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?SELL0.29$1.1k