PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

truthteller

0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102

Realised P&L
$150.0k
Volume
$150.92M
Markets traded
2,627
Open portfolio
$75.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,627
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 18:28Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.28$2.3k
11-01 01:31Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31?SELL0.38$30.02
11-01 00:32Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.28$336.00
10-31 23:15Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?BUY0.2$3.0k
10-31 22:39Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?BUY0.28$280.00
10-31 22:38Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.28$4.8k
10-31 22:26Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?BUY0.2$1.3k
10-31 21:59Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026?SELL0.669$907.75
10-31 20:52Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.28$644.00
10-31 20:18Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?SELL0.66$26.73
10-31 18:44Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026?SELL0.27$270.00
10-31 16:59Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.29$309.51
10-31 16:59Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?SELL0.29$1.9k
10-31 16:53Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?SELL0.19$293.74
10-31 09:39Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?BUY0.62$558.00