truthteller
0x30e443872ddf63b2908a49f92cd690c304a55102
- Realised P&L
- $150.0k
- Volume
- $150.92M
- Markets traded
- 2,627
- Open portfolio
- $75.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,627
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration34.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.0kat 0.248Ansem vs. Bitboy - Crypto Fight Night
- +$35.1kat 0.138Will Ben Carson win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?
- +$35.0kat 0.996Was Caitlyn Jenner hacked?
- +$29.3kat 0.317Biden wins the Popular Vote?
- +$28.9kat 0.334Rabois Parlay: Trump wins PA, MI, GA and AZ?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 18:28 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.3k |
| 11-01 01:31 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by December 31? | SELL | 0.38 | $30.02 |
| 11-01 00:32 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $336.00 |
| 10-31 23:15 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $3.0k |
| 10-31 22:39 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $280.00 |
| 10-31 22:38 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.28 | $4.8k |
| 10-31 22:26 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.3k |
| 10-31 21:59 | Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.669 | $907.75 |
| 10-31 20:52 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.28 | $644.00 |
| 10-31 20:18 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | SELL | 0.66 | $26.73 |
| 10-31 18:44 | Will 1 Fed rate hike happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $270.00 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.29 | $309.51 |
| 10-31 16:59 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.9k |
| 10-31 16:53 | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $293.74 |
| 10-31 09:39 | Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.62 | $558.00 |