denizz
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
- Realised P&L
- $2.36M
- Volume
- $100.58M
- Markets traded
- 1,007
- Open portfolio
- $1.18M
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded1,007
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$807.3kat 0.147US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$382.6kat 0.948Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$318.1kat 0.285US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$284.6kat 0.393Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$250.6kat 0.294Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 17:41 | Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027? | BUY | 0.5047309193 | $1.3k |
| 11-01 17:39 | Israeli election results in a hung parliament? | SELL | 0.4817884644 | $954.17 |
| 10-31 19:34 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.666339122 | $207.20 |
| 10-31 05:30 | Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.6674786421 | $2.6k |
| 10-31 05:11 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | BUY | 0.965 | $320.09 |
| 10-30 23:50 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $1.5k |
| 10-30 07:40 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31? | BUY | 0.9327263978 | $96.92 |
| 10-30 07:39 | Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? | BUY | 0.9442370353 | $207.02 |
| 10-30 07:37 | Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? | BUY | 0.9051801354 | $145.72 |
| 10-30 07:35 | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.928 | $65.69 |
| 10-30 07:33 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.01 |
| 10-30 07:33 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.5367213115 | $32.74 |
| 10-30 07:32 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.7450429242 | $84.18 |
| 10-30 07:32 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8281649242 | $316.86 |
| 10-30 07:32 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9517423242 | $115.31 |