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Traders

denizz

0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73

Realised P&L
$2.36M
Volume
$100.58M
Markets traded
1,007
Open portfolio
$1.18M

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.3%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,007
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration33.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.8430.955$536.8k+$62.7k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.7360.825$305.6k+$33.0k
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.8550.971$157.8k+$18.9k
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8120.966$32.0k+$5.1k
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.5120.841$28.3k+$11.1k
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 · Yes0.6620.815$22.5k+$4.2k
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? · No0.7520.938$15.2k+$3.0k
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.8310.963$11.4k+$1.6k
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7540.863$9.7k+$1.2k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.4200.885$8.7k+$4.6k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3050.135$5.8k−$7.4k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · No0.8500.865$4.8k+$83.49
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? · No0.8390.949$4.7k+$543.75
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · No0.8790.914$4.2k+$160.82
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? · No0.7790.865$3.8k+$382.89

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 17:41Next Israeli government formed by February 28, 2027?BUY0.5047309193$1.3k
11-01 17:39Israeli election results in a hung parliament?SELL0.4817884644$954.17
10-31 19:34Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.666339122$207.20
10-31 05:30Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.6674786421$2.6k
10-31 05:11US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.965$320.09
10-30 23:50Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?BUY0.95$1.5k
10-30 07:40Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by December 31?BUY0.9327263978$96.92
10-30 07:39Will Israel annex any territory by December 31?BUY0.9442370353$207.02
10-30 07:37Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?BUY0.9051801354$145.72
10-30 07:35Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.928$65.69
10-30 07:33Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?SELL0.07$3.01
10-30 07:33Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2027?BUY0.5367213115$32.74
10-30 07:32Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2027?BUY0.7450429242$84.18
10-30 07:32Israel withdraws from Lebanon by March 31, 2027?BUY0.8281649242$316.86
10-30 07:32Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9517423242$115.31