denizz
0xbaa2bcb5439e985ce4ccf815b4700027d1b92c73
- Realised P&L
- $2.50M
- Volume
- $98.60M
- Markets traded
- 990
- Open portfolio
- $1.31M
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded990
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration27.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$807.3kat 0.147US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$382.6kat 0.948Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$318.1kat 0.285US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$284.6kat 0.393Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
- +$250.6kat 0.294Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:34 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.48 | $23.46 |
| 08-02 20:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.52 | $540.11 |
| 08-02 18:36 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.64 | $328.31 |
| 08-02 18:35 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.53 | $212.00 |
| 08-02 18:16 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.43 | $629.00 |
| 08-02 18:02 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $6.40 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $7.77 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $26.60 |
| 08-02 17:41 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.4541207687 | $225.92 |
| 08-02 12:21 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 12:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4899600533 | $1.6k |
| 08-02 09:38 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.24 | $8.65 |
| 08-02 09:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.2515359738 | $433.06 |
| 08-02 09:28 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | SELL | 0.44 | $193.98 |
| 08-02 08:05 | Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? | BUY | 0.61 | $38.49 |