PolyBot

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Traders

yuhyuhyuhy352352

0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0

Realised P&L
$315.1k
Volume
$11.53M
Markets traded
429
Open portfolio
$60.9k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded429
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.3480.945$38.1k+$24.1k
Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? · No0.6710.955$9.9k+$2.9k
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.4130.885$7.1k+$3.8k
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1550.175$2.6k+$291.23
US strike on Cuba by December 31? · Yes0.5610.085$1.0k−$5.8k
Iran leadership change by December 31? · Yes0.2520.135$819.53−$710.29
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3700.295$593.50−$150.89
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2870.034$170.00−$1.3k
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? · Yes0.1800.125$147.33−$64.83
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3620.135$135.00−$227.45
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? · No0.3130.961$103.16+$69.58
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.4690.125$64.97−$178.74
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? · Yes0.1250.086$30.85−$14.39
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0660.015$29.00−$102.08
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31? · Yes0.6390.060$4.35−$41.96

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-13 03:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.95$3.8k
08-13 01:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?SELL0.93$5.1k
08-12 22:13Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.003$240.00
08-12 21:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.33$339.80
08-12 21:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.76$696.06
08-12 21:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?BUY0.7435405948$825.23
08-12 21:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.61$1.4k
08-12 21:24US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?BUY0.3267890111$2.9k
08-12 21:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.08$646.13
08-12 21:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.065626348$355.09
08-12 20:26Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 12?BUY0.427992$1.5k
08-12 19:47US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.0575849324$258.47
08-12 17:15US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.2398855968$797.01
08-12 16:53Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.6232157026$824.73
08-12 03:15US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.9808825779$9.8k