yuhyuhyuhy352352
0xbd0477e08d82d35a855ff19644a88a9213d8fbb0
- Realised P&L
- $360.0k
- Volume
- $10.19M
- Markets traded
- 408
- Open portfolio
- $195.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded408
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$54.0kat 0.109Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$53.0kat 0.041US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$52.4kat 0.152Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
- +$27.9kat 0.302Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$25.4kat 0.304Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.42634 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 21:54 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4081710987 | $698.55 |
| 08-02 21:48 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.1115968723 | $2.57 |
| 08-02 21:45 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.43 | $493.14 |
| 08-02 21:44 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.15 | $460.75 |
| 08-02 21:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.24 | $817.60 |
| 08-02 21:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 21:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.1398925933 | $2.4k |
| 08-02 21:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.362453 | $362.45 |
| 08-02 21:42 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1370866568 | $433.45 |
| 08-02 21:29 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4977 | $2.5k |
| 08-02 19:22 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $781.33 |
| 08-02 19:20 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | BUY | 0.223883811 | $180.28 |
| 08-02 19:19 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $908.07 |
| 08-02 17:26 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.35 | $3.0k |