SeniorLaghetto
0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145
- Realised P&L
- $303.5k
- Volume
- $42.52M
- Markets traded
- 674
- Open portfolio
- $46.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded674
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration25.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.4kat 0.064Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$116.6kat 0.158Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$65.7kat 0.038Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$43.8kat 0.050Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$42.7kat 0.004Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:31 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.811 | $38.12 |
| 09-17 03:30 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.81 | $81.00 |
| 09-17 03:01 | Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8072391627 | $114.15 |
| 09-16 13:32 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.28 | $28.00 |
| 09-11 04:02 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $218.82 |
| 09-11 04:02 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.52 | $194.11 |
| 09-09 04:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5845609341 | $96.13 |
| 09-09 04:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.45 | $22.50 |
| 09-03 05:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.37 | $37.00 |
| 09-03 05:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $25.28 |
| 09-01 04:00 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6857995029 | $82.78 |
| 08-31 17:27 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.42 | $420.00 |
| 08-30 07:03 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6 | $80.40 |
| 08-27 12:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.28 | $66.56 |
| 08-27 12:22 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.58 | $174.00 |