PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

SeniorLaghetto

0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145

Realised P&L
$301.7k
Volume
$42.21M
Markets traded
668
Open portfolio
$54.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded668
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7440.755$9.2k+$134.75
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4510.505$6.8k+$730.33
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.6960.550$5.0k$1.3k
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? · Yes0.6300.650$4.9k+$149.89
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.2350.390$4.2k+$1.7k
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No0.3280.345$2.9k+$137.93
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.2720.405$2.2k+$733.65
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4450.465$2.1k+$94.07
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8080.668$1.9k$406.23
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.6560.882$1.6k+$421.55
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9430.932$1.6k$19.44
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.1400.175$1.2k+$245.49
Predict.fun FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.7880.856$1.1k+$87.41
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.6080.540$1.1k$136.64
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4810.610$905.43+$191.02

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:13US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.26$127.05
08-02 22:12US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.26$155.06
08-02 21:51US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.26$159.90
08-02 21:48US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.28$98.54
08-02 21:46US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6497213057$277.66
08-02 21:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?SELL0.29$1.1k
08-02 21:44US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6358076766$341.57
08-02 21:41US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.46$60.76
08-02 21:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.3$837.10
08-02 21:38US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.6$80.35
08-02 21:32US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.3$330.00
08-02 20:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.65$252.23
08-02 19:03US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.44$161.51
08-02 19:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.45$540.34
08-02 19:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?BUY0.65$1.5k