SeniorLaghetto
0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145
- Realised P&L
- $301.7k
- Volume
- $42.21M
- Markets traded
- 668
- Open portfolio
- $54.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded668
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$137.4kat 0.064Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- +$116.6kat 0.158Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$65.7kat 0.038Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
- +$43.0kat 0.156Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$42.7kat 0.004Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:13 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $127.05 |
| 08-02 22:12 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.26 | $155.06 |
| 08-02 21:51 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.26 | $159.90 |
| 08-02 21:48 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $98.54 |
| 08-02 21:46 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6497213057 | $277.66 |
| 08-02 21:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.1k |
| 08-02 21:44 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6358076766 | $341.57 |
| 08-02 21:41 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.46 | $60.76 |
| 08-02 21:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $837.10 |
| 08-02 21:38 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.6 | $80.35 |
| 08-02 21:32 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? | BUY | 0.3 | $330.00 |
| 08-02 20:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.65 | $252.23 |
| 08-02 19:03 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.44 | $161.51 |
| 08-02 19:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.45 | $540.34 |
| 08-02 19:00 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.5k |