PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

SeniorLaghetto

0x05ab749a8554fb7c852238c271d384bae6798145

Realised P&L
$310.2k
Volume
$42.05M
Markets traded
750
Open portfolio
$49.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded750
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.7980.934$16.8k+$2.5k
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.8020.987$12.6k+$2.4k
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5460.556$5.9k+$104.65
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.7060.936$2.2k+$549.34
Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? · No0.9410.960$2.1k+$40.81
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · No0.1810.064$984.27−$1.8k
Metamask FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.8600.963$826.10+$88.13
Metamask FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.9470.980$732.41+$24.73
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? · Yes0.3300.247$694.34−$233.73
Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.7600.892$490.56+$72.59
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No0.8900.940$470.00+$25.00
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No0.1530.050$447.90−$935.66
Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.9350.972$412.36+$15.59
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.0710.051$376.63−$151.02
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.4590.475$305.20+$10.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 21:091win FDV above $70M one day after launch?SELL0.981$98.45
11-01 16:52Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.75$48.75
11-01 16:19Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?BUY0.054$18.96
11-01 15:51Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.3425261031$40.68
11-01 15:51Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by November 30?SELL0.81$184.68
11-01 15:51Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31?SELL0.39$39.00
11-01 15:49Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.0191978708$17.44
11-01 15:48Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.947$25.21
11-01 14:58Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?SELL0.9364817554$329.28
11-01 14:13Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?BUY0.24$28.80
11-01 14:13Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?BUY0.742$89.04
11-01 14:08Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.5299347017$243.47
11-01 13:39Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.518$92.10
11-01 12:57Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.17$7.48
11-01 12:56Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$3.55