PolyBot

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-12-01
Rewards
20 min size · 6.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.04. down 0.02 over the period, from 0.07. Range 0.04 to 0.51. 153 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.05233233
0.065238
0.071,0901,328
0.085841,912
0.13201,933
0.21501,982
0.231502,132
0.381202,252
0.501302,382
0.582282,610
0.594353,045
0.9153,050

Spread0.01Mid0.04

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.041,1851,185
0.032,2203,405
0.021,6035,008
0.013,6108,618

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.961,1851,185
0.972,2203,405
0.981,6035,008
0.993,6108,618

Spread0.01Mid0.95

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.95233233
0.945238
0.931,0901,328
0.925841,912
0.87201,933
0.79501,982
0.771502,132
0.621202,252
0.501302,382
0.422282,610
0.414353,045
0.0953,050

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
Numitus1994Yes1,081.72
TheWindKnowsmyNameYes958.4
xtxpleasecallmeYes498.22
simplemanYes334.48
badkidsartYes250
PeryperyYes123
0x325f…fd42Yes111
tradetosurvive1Yes55
planktonXDYes50.18
pppnnYes40
HaradwaithYes33.53
PPMTYes30.02
suntoriYes22.4
youtube-traderYes21.02
0xc561…dc22Yes21
ghorrockYes16.52
AlohaSoYes15.79
chessplayerYes13
cweouidbewodjwenYes13
Elias.ThornwellYes6.32

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:55:13BUYNo0.96100$96.00
08:20:16BUYNo0.95220$209.00
01:34:06SELLYes0.05328520$1.07
01:33:55BUYNo0.9456$410.05
01:33:55BUYNo0.919589545616$14.84
12:01:25SELLYes0.1330$3.90
12:01:24SELLYes0.1320$2.61
01:54:00BUYYes0.119999997330$3.61
23:32:42BUYNo0.9100$90.00
23:09:24SELLNo0.871$0.64
22:46:31BUYNo0.938$34.58
22:46:30BUYNo0.89119$105.91
22:06:31BUYNo0.8928$24.92
22:06:10BUYNo0.86$4.80
22:03:45BUYYes0.176$1.02
22:03:45BUYYes0.1429$3.99
21:32:01BUYYes0.139999992310$1.46
16:57:41BUYNo0.911$1.00
15:17:43BUYYes0.0899999998184$16.52
05:19:47BUYNo0.9399999996106$100.00
22:57:04BUYNo0.909999998126$23.51
12:02:17BUYNo0.920$17.67
12:02:16BUYNo0.967$60.00
10:55:41BUYYes0.129999999433$4.27
08:57:38SELLNo0.8717$14.67