trader654321
0xc561b14904d769eda31628082c005362ba60dc22
- Realised P&L
- $-878.25
- Volume
- $54.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,158
- Open portfolio
- $81.81
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,158
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration13.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No | 0.245 | 0.305 | $32.77 | +$6.40 |
| Massachusetts passes jungle primary ballot measure? · No | 0.710 | 0.685 | $24.11 | −$0.88 |
| Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? · No | 0.450 | 0.350 | $18.25 | −$5.21 |
| Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? · No | 0.110 | 0.315 | $5.73 | +$3.73 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.380 | 0.045 | $0.94 | −$7.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$102.74at 0.720Zuffa Boxing: Garcia vs. Benn (Welterweight, Main)
- +$79.82at 0.769Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-15?
- +$67.51at 0.740Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-13?
- +$57.63at 0.779Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-14?
- +$56.47at 0.730Will Venezia FC vs. ACF Fiorentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 15:04 | Will the Ohio Special 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.4499999942 | $23.46 |
| 09-17 15:04 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.2470308789 | $24.96 |
| 09-17 15:01 | Will the Texas 2026 Senate race be within 5%? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.41 |
| 09-12 13:44 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 13:40 | Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.73 | $189.44 |
| 09-12 13:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 13:33 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5899999725 | $3.00 |
| 09-12 13:33 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.6699999483 | $3.50 |
| 09-12 13:33 | Solana Up or Down - September 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET | BUY | 0.7105262859 | $3.75 |
| 09-12 13:29 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8099999809 | $4.25 |
| 09-12 13:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $2.50 |
| 09-12 13:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.7710843373 | $4.00 |
| 09-12 13:26 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.6299999477 | $3.25 |
| 09-12 13:25 | XRP Up or Down - September 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $2.50 |
| 09-12 13:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $4.25 |