PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

badkidsart

0xc6c210a895ca825636ee72bc991386b399851b0d

Realised P&L
$326.48
Volume
$123.9k
Markets traded
211
Open portfolio
$10.7k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded211
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · No0.8510.967$794.77+$94.77
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? · No0.9620.951$790.45−$9.55
Trump out as President before 2027? · No0.9090.966$637.49+$37.49
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? · No0.9680.989$510.76+$10.76
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? · No0.9400.983$418.08+$18.09
Xi Jinping out before 2027? · No0.9400.980$416.81+$16.81
Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? · No0.8750.953$326.42+$26.42
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · No0.9540.973$305.82+$5.82
Will the Bayeux Tapestry be back in France by December 31, 2026? · No0.9580.966$302.64+$2.64
Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? · No0.9510.952$300.02+$0.03
Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? · No0.9480.944$298.66−$1.34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8700.972$223.33+$23.33
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? · No0.8950.980$218.87+$18.87
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? · No0.8880.966$217.65+$17.65
Canva IPO before 2027? · No0.9150.972$212.44+$12.44

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-28 00:16Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026?BUY0.8899999965$100.00
10-26 13:55Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.0451784132$13.76
10-26 13:54Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.04$82.80
10-21 21:38Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026?BUY0.709999998$100.00
10-21 21:34Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.9549999989$100.00
10-14 06:07Will Oura not IPO before January 2027?BUY0.9515049317$100.00
10-02 14:38Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.9599999988$500.00
09-23 22:13Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?BUY0.9399999996$100.00
09-23 22:13Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027?BUY0.8779999999$100.00
09-22 02:10Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31?BUY0.1299999999$50.00
09-22 02:04U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?BUY0.9495252326$100.00
09-22 02:03US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026?BUY0.9305088024$100.00
09-19 14:12Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.9269999928$100.00
09-19 14:05Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?SELL0.1457420057$44.16
09-17 21:41Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?SELL0.039$0.01