badkidsart
0xc6c210a895ca825636ee72bc991386b399851b0d
- Realised P&L
- $415.26
- Volume
- $110.3k
- Markets traded
- 182
- Open portfolio
- $6.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded182
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.931Macron out in 2025?
- +$700.31at 0.125Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$309.17at 0.489Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$200.44at 0.699Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
- +$194.12at 0.340Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-21 22:57 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9589999998 | $200.00 |
| 07-21 22:57 | Andy Jassy out as Amazon CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.9477336992 | $300.00 |
| 07-21 22:56 | Sam Altman out as OpenAI CEO before 2027? | BUY | 0.8754104099 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 23:04 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | BUY | 0.1299999989 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 22:54 | Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | SELL | 0.94 | $154.09 |
| 07-19 22:14 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the Silver Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8053020686 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 22:11 | Will Norway win the Fair Play Award for the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8515311403 | $200.00 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will Unai Simón win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9656480924 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 22:10 | Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.022878187 | $14.90 |
| 07-19 21:08 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19? | SELL | 0.0425 | $16.04 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.369999998 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 21:01 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.04 | $7.69 |
| 07-19 20:54 | Will Emiliano Martínez win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.305502112 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 20:02 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |