badkidsart
0xc6c210a895ca825636ee72bc991386b399851b0d
- Realised P&L
- $326.48
- Volume
- $123.9k
- Markets traded
- 211
- Open portfolio
- $10.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded211
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration7.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.931Macron out in 2025?
- +$700.31at 0.125Lecornu out as French PM by October 31?
- +$309.17at 0.488Trump invokes War Powers against Venezuela by January 31?
- +$200.44at 0.699Apple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?
- +$194.12at 0.340Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 00:16 | Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8899999965 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 13:55 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | SELL | 0.0451784132 | $13.76 |
| 10-26 13:54 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.04 | $82.80 |
| 10-21 21:38 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by November 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-21 21:34 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.9549999989 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 06:07 | Will Oura not IPO before January 2027? | BUY | 0.9515049317 | $100.00 |
| 10-02 14:38 | Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9599999988 | $500.00 |
| 09-23 22:13 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.9399999996 | $100.00 |
| 09-23 22:13 | Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? | BUY | 0.8779999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 02:10 | Will Trump visit Greenland by December 31? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $50.00 |
| 09-22 02:04 | U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? | BUY | 0.9495252326 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 02:03 | US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? | BUY | 0.9305088024 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 14:12 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.9269999928 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 14:05 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | SELL | 0.1457420057 | $44.16 |
| 09-17 21:41 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.01 |