0x325ffba605229bc469235161a6cab3c154a4fd42
- Realised P&L
- $19.19
- Volume
- $439.75
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $14.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.609 | $7.43 | +$1.57 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.728 | 0.745 | $6.76 | +$0.16 |
| Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? · No | 0.314 | 0.255 | $0.71 | −$0.16 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.48at 0.515Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET
- +$5.10at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
- +$1.10at 0.890Bitcoin Up or Down on June 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-17 07:01 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.48 | $5.86 |
| 06-11 04:44 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.18 |
| 06-11 04:35 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.28 | $2.83 |
| 06-11 03:33 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3124806202 | $4.03 |
| 06-11 02:00 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.31 | $4.74 |
| 06-10 16:26 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $13.03 |
| 06-10 16:24 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3209183673 | $3.14 |
| 06-10 16:19 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $6.41 |
| 06-10 16:08 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.6700174095 | $96.21 |
| 06-10 14:40 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $9.05 |
| 06-10 14:38 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $8.93 |
| 06-10 14:08 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $5.62 |
| 06-10 14:08 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $3.38 |
| 06-10 14:07 | Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $8.93 |
| 06-10 13:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET | BUY | 0.5146980843 | $19.60 |