cweouidbewodjwen
0x8beffdebe3159e88f15bba06bf52fe766d4c2bb4
- Realised P&L
- $-51.89
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration46.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$22.64at 0.500Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
- +$16.88at 0.500LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$11.38at 0.500Will Ulf Prange win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?
- +$9.81at 0.500Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in August?
- +$9.17at 0.500Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 12:24 | SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.06 | $0.34 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 OH-07 House election by 0%-3%? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 12:24 | SSI public model released by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1158158996 | $1.66 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will Z.ai be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of November 2026? | SELL | 0.19 | $3.80 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-14 House election by 20%-25%? | SELL | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement? | SELL | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be at least $0.60 on October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.547 | $10.94 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.4% before 2027? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.81 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Clavicular charges dropped by October 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $5.60 |
| 09-24 12:24 | Will Lionel Messi score 8+ goals during the 2027 MLS Sprint Season window? | SELL | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 09-10 00:42 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.815874915 | $48.01 |
| 09-09 23:47 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.157 | $14.36 |
| 09-08 13:13 | LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.8654173077 | $90.00 |
| 09-07 22:04 | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.347 | $8.57 |
| 09-05 04:52 | Will Centre Party (C) win at least 9% of all valid votes? | SELL | 0.126 | $10.18 |