Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 100 min size · 2.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.339. up 0.012 over the period, from 0.327. Range 0.325 to 0.352. 157 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.341	300	300
0.343	22	322
0.344	3,598	3,920
0.345	1,246	5,166
0.346	720	5,886
0.347	1,757	7,643
0.351	405	8,047
0.353	269	8,316
0.354	25	8,341
0.356	113	8,454
0.359	698	9,152
0.363	500	9,652

Spread0.005Mid0.339

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.336	109	109
0.335	659	768
0.334	200	968
0.332	420	1,388
0.326	1,720	3,108
0.325	726	3,834
0.324	4,449	8,283
0.323	600	8,883
0.318	566	9,449
0.314	100	9,549
0.307	500	10,049
0.287	200	10,249

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.664	109	109
0.665	659	768
0.666	200	968
0.668	420	1,388
0.674	1,720	3,108
0.675	726	3,834
0.676	4,449	8,283
0.677	600	8,883
0.682	566	9,449
0.686	100	9,549
0.693	500	10,049
0.713	200	10,249

Spread0.005Mid0.661

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.659	300	300
0.657	22	322
0.656	3,598	3,920
0.655	1,246	5,166
0.654	720	5,886
0.653	1,757	7,643
0.649	405	8,047
0.647	269	8,316
0.646	25	8,341
0.644	113	8,454
0.641	698	9,152
0.637	500	9,652

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
aenews2	Yes	3,280.28
anoin123	Yes	893.53
balthazar	Yes	470.57
Digital-Boy	Yes	224.3
lissartter	Yes	200
tradetosurvive1	Yes	200
Romulop2806	Yes	17.85
bertross	Yes	15
Lolakis	Yes	10
911gt3rspp	Yes	9.96
PPMT	Yes	9.95
dumpb	Yes	8.5
klionio	Yes	8.19
chumos	Yes	8.19
ribika	Yes	7.67
kneetteen	Yes	7.44
0xFf12c076486622f6492023399a4E84d46dFbcDC4-1771515289272	Yes	7.25
Ox81De0770551cA28Dc0Dc7fa148406D40BdfC20d4	Yes	6.76
PhamHaiDang	Yes	6.73
titian	Yes	6.23

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
11:24:12	BUY	No	0.664	35	$23.24
11:24:12	BUY	No	0.664	5	$3.32
11:24:12	BUY	No	0.6639999817	31	$20.59
11:23:56	BUY	No	0.6639999473	12	$7.97
11:23:54	BUY	No	0.6639999331	8	$5.32
00:13:17	BUY	No	0.656999982	16	$10.52
00:13:17	BUY	No	0.6569999954	82	$53.88
00:13:14	BUY	No	0.6569999409	8	$5.26
00:13:14	BUY	No	0.6569999944	43	$28.26
00:13:05	BUY	No	0.656999982	16	$10.52
00:13:05	BUY	No	0.657	80	$52.56
17:30:51	SELL	Yes	0.343	10	$3.43
16:56:08	SELL	Yes	0.343	1	$0.34
16:48:09	SELL	No	0.656	544	$356.86
15:07:15	SELL	Yes	0.343	1	$0.34
15:06:26	SELL	Yes	0.343	1	$0.19
15:06:18	SELL	No	0.656	1,200	$787.19
10:33:33	BUY	Yes	0.344	15	$5.16
19:36:14	BUY	No	0.656999801	2	$1.05
19:35:53	BUY	No	0.6569999772	2	$1.47
19:35:14	BUY	No	0.6569998602	2	$1.18
19:34:39	BUY	No	0.6569998995	2	$1.21
19:30:06	BUY	No	0.6569999815	5	$3.44
19:29:35	BUY	No	0.6569999751	2	$1.37
19:28:09	BUY	No	0.6569996745	2	$1.30