Ox81De0770551cA28Dc0Dc7fa148406D40BdfC20d4
0x81de0770551ca28dc0dc7fa148406d40bdfc20d4
- Realised P&L
- $-940.00
- Volume
- $68.6k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $982.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$40.03at 0.803Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$29.76at 0.468Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
- +$27.69at 0.597Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
- +$27.24at 0.547Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31?
- +$26.46at 0.482Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 02:39 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999993 | $4.04 |
| 10-15 02:38 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1399999999 | $67.16 |
| 10-15 01:46 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.2799999959 | $10.97 |
| 10-15 00:42 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028? | BUY | 0.2699999998 | $150.82 |
| 10-15 00:36 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $174.00 |
| 10-15 00:03 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.87 | $217.50 |
| 10-14 23:41 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $210.00 |
| 10-14 23:41 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.84 | $0.40 |
| 10-14 21:34 | Will Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5399999974 | $8.33 |
| 10-14 21:29 | Will Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC end in a draw? | SELL | 0.78 | $6.00 |
| 10-14 21:29 | Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-14? | SELL | 0.73 | $5.74 |
| 10-14 21:25 | Will Sporting Jax vs. Birmingham Legion FC end in a draw? | BUY | 0.79 | $6.08 |
| 10-14 21:25 | Will Birmingham Legion FC win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.5199999726 | $5.31 |
| 10-14 21:25 | Will Sporting Jax win on 2026-10-14? | BUY | 0.7423728788 | $5.84 |
| 10-13 18:16 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999996 | $22.96 |