bertross
0x5fa5a4e1f73173f0a10ec704bddea03b08c6b7a7
- Realised P&L
- $-1.4k
- Volume
- $53.8k
- Markets traded
- 388
- Open portfolio
- $1.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded388
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$455.28at 0.500Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
- +$112.50at 0.500Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$97.43at 0.074Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?
- +$60.75at 0.241Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
- +$58.90at 0.345Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 02:49 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $1.95 |
| 09-16 18:34 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.37 | $5.55 |
| 09-15 23:33 | Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-15 14:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11? | BUY | 0.022 | $0.29 |
| 09-15 14:18 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $2.10 |
| 09-15 13:18 | Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.02 | $0.30 |
| 09-14 19:32 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15? | BUY | 0.033134 | $0.50 |
| 09-13 19:46 | Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.03 | $0.45 |
| 09-11 13:59 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.15 |
| 09-11 13:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.35 |
| 09-11 10:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? | BUY | 0.141 | $1.44 |
| 09-11 10:59 | Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.2966666667 | $4.45 |
| 09-11 01:43 | Israel closes its airspace by September 30? | BUY | 0.038 | $0.19 |
| 09-09 21:57 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | BUY | 0.42 | $6.30 |
| 09-09 06:42 | Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $5.70 |