PolyBot

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Traders

bertross

0x5fa5a4e1f73173f0a10ec704bddea03b08c6b7a7

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$53.8k
Markets traded
388
Open portfolio
$1.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded388
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · No0.4930.945$414.65+$198.26
UNSC Resolution Endorsing Final U.S.-Iran Deal by December 31? · No0.4470.885$66.38+$32.83
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? · Yes0.3670.130$62.90$114.69
No one announced as next James Bond? · No0.5000.781$42.98+$15.48
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? · Yes0.4040.364$34.63$3.74
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2430.255$25.61+$1.16
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1450.805$24.15+$19.80
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · No0.4470.875$22.56+$11.04
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? · No0.4200.730$21.90+$9.30
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? · Yes0.4251.000$19.99+$11.49
Anthony Fauci charged by December 31? · No0.5000.650$19.50+$4.50
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30? · No0.5000.969$19.38+$9.38
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · No0.5000.805$16.10+$6.10
Israel closes its airspace by September 30? · Yes0.5000.981$14.71+$7.21
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.4170.325$14.63$4.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 02:49NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?BUY0.13$1.95
09-16 18:34Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.37$5.55
09-15 23:33Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?BUY0.001$0.01
09-15 14:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.022$0.29
09-15 14:18Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?BUY0.14$2.10
09-15 13:18Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.02$0.30
09-14 19:32Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?BUY0.033134$0.50
09-13 19:46Will the Moderate Party (M) win the second most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?BUY0.03$0.45
09-11 13:59Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.01$0.15
09-11 13:14Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31?BUY0.09$1.35
09-11 10:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?BUY0.141$1.44
09-11 10:59Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?BUY0.2966666667$4.45
09-11 01:43Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.038$0.19
09-09 21:57US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?BUY0.42$6.30
09-09 06:42Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?BUY0.38$5.70