ribika
0x45bc58b72d5fc00e3f7d813645fed2c33bca7188
- Realised P&L
- $-0.69
- Volume
- $463.32
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $2.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample24 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.339 | $2.60 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.75at 0.380Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?
- +$3.18at 0.430Lakers vs. Heat
- +$1.65at 0.527Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$1.46at 0.659Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?
- +$1.21at 0.610Hornets vs. Mavericks
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:26 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.3259999854 | $2.50 |
| 09-25 08:11 | Texans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.5399998231 | $1.16 |
| 08-03 15:26 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.35 |
| 07-31 12:10 | Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01? | BUY | 0.6499999418 | $2.79 |
| 07-04 10:55 | Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999933 | $1.97 |
| 06-27 11:16 | Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.52 | $1.82 |
| 06-05 08:29 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in June? | BUY | 0.6265192184 | $1.71 |
| 05-03 08:37 | Will Finland win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.3369999295 | $2.53 |
| 04-12 09:58 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7889999588 | $1.15 |
| 04-10 08:59 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st? | BUY | 0.7599999224 | $1.96 |
| 04-05 13:25 | Bruins vs. Flyers | BUY | 0.4299999108 | $2.41 |
| 04-01 12:26 | Ducks vs. Sharks | BUY | 0.5099999366 | $2.01 |
| 03-21 13:44 | Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia? | BUY | 0.3799999339 | $2.30 |
| 03-19 10:11 | Lakers vs. Heat | BUY | 0.4299999247 | $2.40 |
| 03-17 15:27 | Panthers vs. Canucks | BUY | 0.58 | $1.45 |