PhamHaiDang
0x49586bf2c59c0dc40a1db1457b93f41bb1bb8180
- Realised P&L
- $-9.24
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $2.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.339 | $2.28 | +$0.04 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.60at 0.607Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- +$4.06at 0.337Spurs vs. Thunder
- +$2.00at 0.840Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
- +$1.96at 0.399Cavaliers vs. Magic
- +$1.62at 0.607Thunder vs. Spurs
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 16:32 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.3329999865 | $2.24 |
| 09-05 08:40 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.87 |
| 08-13 11:20 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.759999964 | $1.69 |
| 07-26 17:48 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.8599999785 | $3.20 |
| 07-03 15:47 | Will Australia reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6 | $2.02 |
| 06-30 13:25 | Will Mexico reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6299998749 | $1.36 |
| 06-22 07:40 | Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7899999657 | $2.30 |
| 06-04 18:38 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.76 | $1.43 |
| 05-28 13:28 | Thunder vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.5999999516 | $2.48 |
| 05-24 14:37 | Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.625999955 | $2.14 |
| 05-17 17:19 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3299998971 | $2.02 |
| 05-15 07:58 | Will Vitality win IEM Atlanta 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.67 |
| 05-09 18:50 | Avalanche vs. Wild | BUY | 0.5599999905 | $2.36 |
| 05-01 09:57 | Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.51 |
| 04-22 18:23 | Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? | BUY | 0.8 | $3.32 |