PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kneetteen

0x242ed0a487254ce06c3e3a1d3193b1da1aa939fd

Realised P&L
$-9.5k
Volume
$340.4k
Markets traded
2,544
Open portfolio
$30.31

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,544
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? · No0.8300.825$12.44−$0.08
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes0.3470.295$5.10−$0.89
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? · Yes0.8000.825$4.13+$0.13
Will Democrats win exactly 9 House seats in Michigan in the 2026 midterm elections? · No0.7600.655$3.71−$0.59
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? · No0.5200.405$2.38−$0.67
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · No0.1850.205$1.47+$0.15
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? · Yes0.2300.215$1.07−$0.07
Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? · Yes0.3000.001$0.02−$11.31
Will CD Guadalajara vs. Pumas de la UNAM end in a draw? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET · Up0.2050.000$0.00−$320.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET · Down0.2700.000$0.00−$7.21
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET · Down0.5290.000$0.00−$125.05
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET · Down0.1210.000$0.00−$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET · Up0.5700.000$0.00−$4.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Down0.4600.000$0.00−$4.51

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-14 09:37John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31?BUY0.23$1.15
10-14 01:07Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31?BUY0.988$4.94
10-13 18:17Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?BUY0.8299999967$12.52
10-13 07:50U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31?BUY0.8$4.00
10-13 05:11Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?SELL0.13$1.93
10-13 05:09Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026?BUY0.9399999987$13.94
10-12 19:57Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.2079999762$1.40
10-12 19:55Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.2069999831$1.04
10-12 19:54Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.214$1.07
10-12 19:45Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.2189999586$1.10
10-12 12:32Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.4120893741$4.53
10-12 12:31Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?BUY0.438$2.19
10-12 00:32Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31?BUY0.57$2.85
10-12 00:32Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31?BUY0.74$3.70
10-11 22:26China x Philippines military clash before 2027?BUY0.3466769423$5.99