kneetteen
0x242ed0a487254ce06c3e3a1d3193b1da1aa939fd
- Realised P&L
- $-9.5k
- Volume
- $340.4k
- Markets traded
- 2,544
- Open portfolio
- $30.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,544
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$801.01at 0.532Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET
- +$729.26at 0.621Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$595.82at 0.461Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$548.22at 0.481Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
- +$470.76at 0.305Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 09:37 | John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.15 |
| 10-14 01:07 | Will Trump pardon anyone by December 31? | BUY | 0.988 | $4.94 |
| 10-13 18:17 | Will Indiana enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $12.52 |
| 10-13 07:50 | U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by December 31? | BUY | 0.8 | $4.00 |
| 10-13 05:11 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.93 |
| 10-13 05:09 | Will Russia target Kyiv on October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999987 | $13.94 |
| 10-12 19:57 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.2079999762 | $1.40 |
| 10-12 19:55 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.2069999831 | $1.04 |
| 10-12 19:54 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.214 | $1.07 |
| 10-12 19:45 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.2189999586 | $1.10 |
| 10-12 12:32 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.4120893741 | $4.53 |
| 10-12 12:31 | Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week? | BUY | 0.438 | $2.19 |
| 10-12 00:32 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by October 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-12 00:32 | Kimberly Guilfoyle out as U.S. Ambassador to Greece by December 31? | BUY | 0.74 | $3.70 |
| 10-11 22:26 | China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.3466769423 | $5.99 |