dumpb
0x97d3c302e833b161ba4ff10826c3aafbc2a5aead
- Realised P&L
- $-0.77
- Volume
- $757.19
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $2.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? · Yes | 0.326 | 0.339 | $2.88 | +$0.11 |
| Bengals vs. Steelers · Bengals | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.67at 0.319Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting?
- +$3.08at 0.497Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?
- +$1.24at 0.530Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 15?
- +$1.20at 0.580Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30?
- +$1.15at 0.629Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 07:53 | Will there be no Hormuz agreement or oil at least $80, and the Republicans win the Senate? | BUY | 0.3259999814 | $2.77 |
| 09-25 08:31 | Bengals vs. Steelers | BUY | 0.6299998441 | $1.01 |
| 08-03 11:59 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.609999783 | $1.04 |
| 07-31 10:10 | Will Trump say "Job" 20+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.3099999411 | $2.58 |
| 07-04 11:02 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3519999083 | $2.12 |
| 06-27 12:51 | Will Colombia win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.7399999879 | $2.44 |
| 06-04 10:26 | Will Trump praise Susan Dell by June 30? | BUY | 0.5699998741 | $1.63 |
| 05-23 14:45 | Will Richard Tabor be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Jersey? | BUY | 0.5699998747 | $1.41 |
| 05-17 13:38 | Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.5 | $1.38 |
| 05-15 14:11 | Will Finland win the first Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.679999975 | $2.18 |
| 05-11 14:26 | Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04? | BUY | 0.7129998826 | $1.30 |
| 05-07 15:29 | Iran closes its airspace by May 31? | BUY | 0.8099996614 | $1.22 |
| 05-03 12:51 | Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final? | BUY | 0.4899999951 | $3.00 |
| 04-15 11:11 | Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | BUY | 0.3299998833 | $1.33 |
| 04-12 15:54 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.00 in April? | BUY | 0.3599998892 | $0.99 |