PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Rewards
50 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.27. up 0.01 over the period, from 0.27. Range 0.23 to 0.48. 28 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.30150150
0.3150200
0.32258458
0.3450508
0.4013521
0.4730551
0.7440591
0.917598
0.9225623
0.9415638
0.9625663
0.976669

Spread0.06Mid0.27

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.243030
0.23200230
0.1457287
0.1051338
0.0418356
0.0356412
0.0123435

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.763030
0.77200230
0.8657287
0.9051338
0.9618356
0.9756412
0.9923435

Spread0.06Mid0.73

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.70150150
0.6950200
0.68258458
0.6650508
0.6013521
0.5330551
0.2640591
0.097598
0.0825623
0.0615638
0.0425663
0.036669

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
AiBirdYes741.31
tradetosurvive1Yes266.78
GuyFromTinderYes150
0x8fd2…62faYes46.74
0x4629…f3b1Yes30
AJSVYes19.8
0x8875…2badYes18.52
SlackjawYes14.43
enderwndYes5.57
0x4029…7639Yes3.13
jesusonxco96766No530.66
NoTeacherNo256.27
grandmothergrammyNo192.78
viniiNo140.65
0x61b5…40c6No98.37
PPMTNo30
lissartterNo24.35
pootytherewardfarmerNo21
ArmageddonRewardsBillyNo3.13

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
00:19:40BUYNo0.7310$7.54
00:19:34BUYYes0.278$2.21
00:18:36BUYNo0.798$6.47
00:18:30BUYNo0.7218$12.78
00:17:45BUYYes0.261554054112$3.10
00:17:45BUYYes0.323$1.00
00:17:31BUYNo0.7117$12.30
00:17:16BUYYes0.2686468647303$81.40
00:17:00BUYYes0.2619$4.81
00:17:00BUYNo0.75220$165.00
23:24:58BUYNo0.69508$350.64
12:00:27SELLNo0.6820$13.60
11:57:55SELLNo0.685$3.57
11:47:51SELLYes0.311$0.25
11:13:58SELLNo0.6821$14.28
09:21:07SELLYes0.3117$5.27
09:20:45SELLYes0.3632$11.58
09:20:42SELLYes0.36150$54.00
09:20:37BUYNo0.6122222222315$192.85
08:50:25BUYYes0.41999996776$2.34
08:50:15BUYNo0.6076444235531$322.45
04:59:45BUYNo0.5899999979193$113.74
04:45:49SELLYes0.4199$40.59
04:43:49BUYNo0.5920$11.80
04:38:43SELLYes0.4120$8.20