0x8875510735b5a8661385c4d84351b34f8d9b2bad
0x8875510735b5a8661385c4d84351b34f8d9b2bad
- Realised P&L
- $-191.88
- Volume
- $24.9k
- Markets traded
- 1,239
- Open portfolio
- $311.07
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,239
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration43.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.39at 0.073LoL: EDward Gaming Youth Team vs T1 Academy (BO1) - World Star Challengers Invitational Group A
- +$67.77at 0.127Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$62.26at 0.176Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
- +$40.27at 0.114Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?
- +$33.46at 0.130Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 07:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.94 | $5.06 |
| 10-27 07:37 | Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.979 | $4.98 |
| 10-27 02:44 | Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | SELL | 0.843 | $4.96 |
| 10-27 01:50 | Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.65 | $5.08 |
| 10-26 18:38 | Will Matvey Safonov win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Goalkeeper of the Year award? | SELL | 0.956 | $5.50 |
| 10-26 17:49 | Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 17:24 | Will Declan Rice finish in the top 10 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.95 | $4.75 |
| 10-26 16:24 | Will Tottenham finish in the top 4 of the 2026-27 English Premier League season? | BUY | 0.859 | $5.05 |
| 10-26 15:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on October 26? | SELL | 0.999 | $5.08 |
| 10-26 15:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 26? | SELL | 0.982 | $5.00 |
| 10-26 14:37 | Will Michael Carrick be out as Manchester United manager by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $4.22 |
| 10-26 13:12 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | SELL | 0.081 | $4.05 |
| 10-26 12:41 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | SELL | 0.77 | $5.58 |
| 10-26 12:30 | Will Vincent Kompany attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony? | SELL | 0.953 | $5.07 |
| 10-26 10:07 | Will Pau Cubarsi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or Men's Young Talent of the Year award? | BUY | 0.68 | $4.93 |