PolyBot

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Traders

0x40293babd99c9b47fe306f6bd1d820ed99917639

0x40293babd99c9b47fe306f6bd1d820ed99917639

Realised P&L
$11.51
Volume
$2.5k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$32.97

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration27.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)30.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? · No0.6160.945$12.29+$4.28
Will Together be in the next Israeli government? · No0.3650.350$5.72−$0.25
Greenland snap election called by December 31? · Yes0.0320.056$3.99+$1.67
Closer Senate Race: Alaska or Texas? · Alaska0.1400.430$3.07+$2.07
Will Alirio García Flamenco win the 2027 Salvadoran presidential election? · No0.9900.971$1.97−$0.04
Viktor Orbán arrested by...? · Yes0.1300.127$1.95−$0.05
Will the Liberals (L) be in the next Swedish government? · Yes0.2200.155$1.08−$0.45
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.9500.985$1.04+$0.04
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? · No0.9950.992$1.00−$0.00
Jumper listed on Coinbase within 30 days of TGE? · No0.6600.575$0.87−$0.13

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 20:55Will Together be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.3125238378$3.97
11-01 18:59Will Together be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.549999945$1.00
11-01 18:59Will Together be in the next Israeli government?BUY0.549999945$1.00
10-27 22:00Will the opposition bloc win the Israeli election by 3-4 seats?BUY0.8299999133$1.34
10-27 21:20Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?SELL0.06$1.48
10-27 10:15Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.13$2.21
10-27 09:54Will Dems win fewer than 8 seats in the 2026 Knesset elections?BUY0.1299999948$1.00
10-27 03:31Will Vinícius Júnior attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?BUY0.996$3.97
10-26 22:57Will Rodri finish in the top 5 of the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.9899990298$1.00
10-26 15:34Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.74$2.06
10-26 08:11Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?BUY0.6599999498$1.84
10-25 16:50Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%?BUY0.003$1.58
10-25 15:56Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 30%?BUY0.984$1.00
10-25 03:01Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of October 2026?SELL0.88$1.76
10-16 11:24Will Omar Aziz win the 2026 Amazonas gubernatorial election?BUY0.859999914$1.00