PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x61b5645374eadfeb72d54f0ec80a258a5dbd40c6

0x61b5645374eadfeb72d54f0ec80a258a5dbd40c6

Realised P&L
$-21.28
Volume
$10.5k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$1.9k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration77.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample9 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
DeepSeek matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9621.000$221.28+$8.49
Moonshot matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9651.000$207.18+$7.18
Alibaba matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9331.000$160.79+$10.79
Z.ai matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.9371.000$137.64+$8.62
Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.4521.000$137.39+$75.29
Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.5441.000$98.37+$44.85
No one announced as next James Bond? · Yes0.2200.142$94.60−$52.00
SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31? · No0.6271.000$89.81+$33.53
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the October Meeting? · Yes0.4971.000$88.26+$44.43
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Georgia Secretary of State election? · Yes0.6440.715$78.45+$7.81
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Iowa Attorney General election? · No0.6700.740$63.66+$6.02
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Vermont Lieutenant Governor election? · No0.8380.955$56.96+$6.96
Will Taylor Swift be the third most streamed artist for 2026? · Yes0.8000.800$50.00+$0.00
Will Václav Trojan be the next Mayor of Brno? · No0.7700.976$46.22+$9.74
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Lieutenant Governor election? · No0.7820.710$45.39−$4.61

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 02:19Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.7189999679$3.70
09-15 02:19Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.7189999679$3.70
09-15 02:19Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.2819999984$1.45
09-15 02:19Will Raphael Warnock vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?BUY0.2819999719$2.81
09-15 02:11SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.6300124886$37.52
09-15 02:11SpaceXAI matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.6199999901$18.76
09-15 02:09Microsoft matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.5299999985$45.48
09-15 02:07Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.4399999933$18.42
09-15 02:07Google matches Anthropic's evaluator commitment by October 31?BUY0.44$36.85
09-15 02:03Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.9$24.10
09-15 02:03Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.9$41.59
09-15 01:59Will Rand Paul vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?SELL0.9$112.14
09-15 01:46Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.5699999691$5.90
09-15 01:46Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.5699999556$2.95
09-15 01:46Will PI get the third-most number of seats in the next Moroccan legislative elections?BUY0.439999997$5.79