Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends: 2027-04-01
Resolves by: https://volcano.si.edu/
Rewards: 0 min size · 0¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.065. Unchanged over the period, from 0.065. Range 0.064 to 0.094. 152 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.079	70	70
0.090	5	75
0.099	40	115
0.100	50	165
0.110	50	215
0.120	50	265
0.129	72	337
0.130	50	387
0.145	93	480
0.150	80	560
0.388	440	1,000
0.389	1,000	2,000

Spread0.028Mid0.065

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.051	83	83
0.049	11	94
0.047	12	106
0.043	60	166
0.042	60	226
0.026	193	419
0.025	600	1,019
0.023	749	1,769
0.022	266	2,034
0.018	250	2,284
0.013	5	2,289
0.010	100	2,389

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.949	83	83
0.951	11	94
0.953	12	106
0.957	60	166
0.958	60	226
0.974	193	419
0.975	600	1,019
0.977	749	1,769
0.978	266	2,034
0.982	250	2,284
0.987	5	2,289
0.990	100	2,389

Spread0.028Mid0.935

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.921	70	70
0.910	5	75
0.901	40	115
0.900	50	165
0.890	50	215
0.880	50	265
0.871	72	337
0.870	50	387
0.855	93	480
0.850	80	560
0.612	440	1,000
0.611	1,000	2,000

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
EyeSaw	Yes	6,108.83
paulco	Yes	3,021.85
THEKROWN	Yes	1,343.46
0x0213b9F55EE49ba498978869374024E90229Fa78-1764785561568	Yes	1,178.24
0x6e52…99d6	Yes	1,174.44
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495	Yes	1,092.76
0x9642bD30D320CaD7878F642566f9F5B91Fc9d2aB-1746989497209	Yes	518.18
Fojjit	Yes	500
0x8F9F70a4D9beeB568742C06f15Ea7Bd9A60236e1-1769884053243	Yes	244.36
WanderingImpulse	Yes	240.89
Cancain	Yes	222.22
0xe751…5df8	Yes	200.2
xtxpleasecallme	Yes	137.24
5atka	Yes	130
0x0E362C4C746313B12888D827c2c25Da4F4d372D5-1768450091162	Yes	125
0xcc10e7Ed54b07E1EF9144A9604236B85A83933Cc-1769950042792	Yes	100
orin40	Yes	100
Drilleri	Yes	94.88
Emmii	Yes	93.48
Amirata17plus	Yes	88.18

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
15:13:43	BUY	Yes	0.079	38	$2.99
09:47:14	SELL	No	0.91	5	$4.55
17:42:36	SELL	No	0.921	0	$0.16
17:40:32	BUY	No	0.94	5	$4.70
14:19:54	BUY	Yes	0.0789999991	13	$1.00
12:44:15	SELL	No	0.925	8	$7.40
18:39:24	BUY	Yes	0.063	40	$2.52
18:39:24	BUY	No	0.9363333333	60	$56.18
03:38:42	SELL	Yes	0.06	22	$1.33
16:58:11	BUY	No	0.9399999887	11	$10.00
02:23:29	SELL	No	0.93	16	$14.88
22:42:26	SELL	Yes	0.06	143	$8.57
10:46:05	BUY	No	0.9399999887	27	$25.00
01:01:26	SELL	Yes	0.06	93	$5.58
21:08:06	BUY	No	0.9493769202	35	$33.40
20:37:24	BUY	No	0.9470540686	422	$400.00
20:21:21	BUY	No	0.9409997954	2	$1.95
23:08:03	SELL	No	0.936	84	$79.03
17:59:06	SELL	No	0.935	84	$78.94
01:53:28	BUY	No	0.9409993413	1	$1.00
04:35:10	SELL	No	0.937	15	$14.06
00:33:21	SELL	Yes	0.061	5	$0.30
18:56:33	BUY	Yes	0.081	5	$0.41
18:56:06	BUY	No	0.939	5	$4.85
22:49:55	SELL	No	0.938	9	$8.78