Amirata17plus
0x81f4468b15b4262cb8048b24d262889b88d1a1cd
- Realised P&L
- $-64.91
- Volume
- $26.8k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $252.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample40 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$92.33at 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$24.36at 0.250US government shutdown Saturday?
- +$22.50at 0.250Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$16.92at 0.178Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.56at 0.220US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:43 | 5kt meteor strike in 2026? | BUY | 0.7438016524 | $12.00 |
| 08-01 14:36 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.040999981 | $2.00 |
| 08-01 14:36 | Trump out as President by August 31? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.00 |
| 07-21 18:54 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.0549999486 | $1.00 |
| 07-21 18:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.72 |
| 07-21 18:51 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999854 | $10.00 |
| 07-19 17:33 | Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999919 | $12.00 |
| 07-19 17:33 | Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2255723189 | $7.00 |
| 07-19 17:22 | Natural Disaster in 2026? | BUY | 0.2199999807 | $8.00 |
| 07-19 17:20 | Fed emergency rate cut before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 17:18 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.044999979 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 17:18 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.0240000004 | $2.00 |
| 07-19 17:15 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.3099999622 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 17:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 07-17 16:12 | Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.0975366521 | $2.00 |