PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Amirata17plus

0x81f4468b15b4262cb8048b24d262889b88d1a1cd

Realised P&L
$-64.91
Volume
$26.8k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$252.65

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration38.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1080.085$56.10$15.50
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2610.205$47.14$12.86
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House · Yes0.3400.415$24.41+$4.41
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1130.065$19.55$14.44
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2640.225$16.22$2.78
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2740.185$14.20$6.80
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.115$12.55+$0.55
5kt meteor strike in 2026? · No0.7440.735$11.86$0.14
Natural Disaster in 2026? · Yes0.2200.240$8.73+$0.73
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0690.055$4.85$1.25
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? · Yes0.0830.022$4.79$13.21
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0800.304$4.57+$3.37
Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2260.145$4.50$2.50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · Yes0.0600.041$4.45$2.15
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0490.036$3.65$1.35

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:435kt meteor strike in 2026?BUY0.7438016524$12.00
08-01 14:36Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?BUY0.040999981$2.00
08-01 14:36Trump out as President by August 31?BUY0.01$2.00
07-21 18:54Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?BUY0.0549999486$1.00
07-21 18:52Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?SELL0.17$4.72
07-21 18:51Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.2799999854$10.00
07-19 17:33Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999919$12.00
07-19 17:33Will Clarence Thomas announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2255723189$7.00
07-19 17:22Natural Disaster in 2026?BUY0.2199999807$8.00
07-19 17:20Fed emergency rate cut before 2027?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
07-19 17:18Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.044999979$2.00
07-19 17:18Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?BUY0.0240000004$2.00
07-19 17:15Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.3099999622$5.00
07-19 17:14Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1799999755$5.00
07-17 16:12Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026?BUY0.0975366521$2.00