Emmii
0xfd2dc2c87e99833210e388bb66220aded20f76ed
- Realised P&L
- $-521.93
- Volume
- $6.2k
- Markets traded
- 26
- Open portfolio
- $252.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded26
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$80.66at 0.107No airdrop in 2025?
- +$32.00at 0.582GPT ads by March 31?
- +$31.64at 0.610Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?
- +$26.99at 0.396Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31?
- +$18.87at 0.505Will edgeX launch a token in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-29 17:17 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $54.54 |
| 01-29 17:17 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.867 | $54.94 |
| 01-29 17:17 | Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31? | BUY | 0.9199999982 | $300.00 |
| 01-26 21:56 | GPT ads by March 31? | SELL | 0.955 | $81.99 |
| 01-23 19:49 | Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.63 | $81.82 |
| 01-21 10:37 | Will Dan Koe win the X $1M article prize? | BUY | 0.3799999833 | $10.00 |
| 01-14 18:51 | GPT ads by March 31? | BUY | 0.5823477146 | $50.00 |
| 01-03 14:30 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999982 | $50.00 |
| 12-30 20:48 | Will there be at least 2100 measles cases in the U.S. in 2025? | BUY | 0.0733535789 | $10.00 |
| 12-30 17:32 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | SELL | 0.981 | $38.87 |
| 12-30 08:56 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by January 31? | SELL | 0.61 | $76.99 |
| 12-30 08:56 | Kraken IPO by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2568022949 | $50.00 |
| 12-30 08:54 | Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7889999985 | $50.00 |
| 12-30 08:53 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5799999988 | $50.00 |
| 12-30 08:53 | Will edgeX launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.5047390076 | $20.00 |