0xe75168aa6feefef9fef17469c6133e8396045df8
- Realised P&L
- $-254.56
- Volume
- $4.7k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $50.54
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.175 | 0.038 | $27.06 | −$95.94 |
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.079 | $15.72 | −$4.08 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes | 0.082 | 0.004 | $7.76 | −$133.35 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? · Yes | 0.259 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$26.71 |
| Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes | 0.057 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? · Yes | 0.014 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.00at 0.017Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?
- +$-4.33at 0.053Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$-12.48at 0.301Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 17:25 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.2299999456 | $3.00 |
| 07-06 17:24 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.3399999411 | $3.00 |
| 07-03 17:33 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0380000002 | $11.00 |
| 07-03 17:32 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.0699999688 | $2.00 |
| 06-27 12:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 12:10 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.05 | $5.00 |
| 06-27 12:09 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 05:20 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | BUY | 0.004 | $1.00 |
| 06-25 17:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $2.00 |
| 06-19 17:06 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.50 |
| 06-19 17:05 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0482046062 | $2.50 |
| 06-19 17:03 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0468345125 | $7.61 |
| 06-06 14:59 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.0699999941 | $11.00 |
| 06-03 15:45 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 06-03 15:28 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | BUY | 0.08 | $20.00 |