PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe75168aa6feefef9fef17469c6133e8396045df8

Realised P&L
$-254.56
Volume
$4.7k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$50.54

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1750.038$27.06$95.94
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0990.079$15.72$4.08
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? · Yes0.0820.004$7.76$133.35
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$2.00
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance · Portugal0.3400.000$0.00$3.00
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$3.00
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April? · Yes0.2590.000$0.00$26.71
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00$1.00
Will the US next strike Iran on March 15, 2026 (ET)? · Yes0.0140.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-06 17:25Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?BUY0.2299999456$3.00
07-06 17:24Portugal vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.3399999411$3.00
07-03 17:33Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0380000002$11.00
07-03 17:32Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.0699999688$2.00
06-27 12:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.05$5.00
06-27 12:10Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.05$5.00
06-27 12:09Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.002$1.00
06-26 05:20Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?BUY0.004$1.00
06-25 17:06Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$2.00
06-19 17:06Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1$1.50
06-19 17:05Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0482046062$2.50
06-19 17:03Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0468345125$7.61
06-06 14:59Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.0699999941$11.00
06-03 15:45Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.16$5.00
06-03 15:28Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?BUY0.08$20.00