0xcc10e7Ed54b07E1EF9144A9604236B85A83933Cc-1769950042792
0xcc10e7ed54b07e1ef9144a9604236b85a83933cc
- Realised P&L
- $-45.22
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 23
- Open portfolio
- $74.09
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded23
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration66.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$146.12at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$45.00at 0.400Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
- +$23.84at 0.370Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
- +$3.70at 0.730Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?
- +$1.60at 0.849Another 7.0 or above earthquake by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-30 23:17 | Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0469664526 | $7.00 |
| 06-30 23:16 | Will Ghana reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0118110236 | $6.00 |
| 06-30 23:15 | Will Senegal reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0172006513 | $6.00 |
| 06-30 23:15 | Will DR Congo reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.0055401253 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 15:38 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $50.00 |
| 05-29 17:27 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999603 | $4.00 |
| 05-29 17:26 | Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? | BUY | 0.06 | $9.00 |
| 05-29 17:24 | Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.019955101 | $5.00 |
| 05-29 17:22 | Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? | BUY | 0.0582111803 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 17:20 | Will US annex any territory in 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999899 | $10.00 |
| 04-12 06:59 | Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30? | BUY | 0.3699999915 | $14.00 |
| 03-13 08:47 | Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9399999962 | $5.00 |
| 03-08 22:13 | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | SELL | 0.034 | $3.16 |
| 03-06 08:04 | Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.7299999876 | $10.00 |
| 03-03 10:42 | Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7? | BUY | 0.4299999976 | $40.00 |