paulco
0x2ccf410b2ade702c72a5e369542ac62d0f99809c
- Realised P&L
- $26.28
- Volume
- $13.1k
- Markets traded
- 24
- Open portfolio
- $508.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded24
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$424.19at 0.235US bank failure by March 31?
- +$143.15at 0.627Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?
- +$7.21at 0.874Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by December 31?
- +$4.22at 0.450Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
- +$0.41at 0.980Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-22 23:29 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.0707737124 | $125.00 |
| 06-01 14:02 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1419658004 | $100.00 |
| 03-07 12:26 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999966 | $40.00 |
| 03-07 12:23 | Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.014143827 | $15.00 |
| 03-07 12:21 | Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1444479002 | $30.00 |
| 03-07 12:20 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 03-07 12:20 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 03-07 12:18 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1792637726 | $100.00 |
| 02-04 02:23 | Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | BUY | 0.2099999993 | $174.69 |
| 02-01 19:03 | Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2 | $39.97 |
| 01-31 23:48 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999946 | $40.00 |
| 01-31 19:41 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.5899999991 | $100.00 |
| 01-31 19:40 | Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30? | BUY | 0.5899999989 | $26.00 |
| 01-31 19:39 | Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? | BUY | 0.1778767996 | $20.00 |
| 01-31 04:06 | Obama federally charged before 2027? | BUY | 0.1476811022 | $10.00 |