PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

paulco

0x2ccf410b2ade702c72a5e369542ac62d0f99809c

Realised P&L
$26.28
Volume
$13.1k
Markets traded
24
Open portfolio
$508.48

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded24
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration73.2% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration41.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes0.0880.070$212.74$52.26
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3271.000$152.78+$102.78
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? · Yes0.2090.055$51.25$143.44
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1790.055$30.68$69.32
Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2070.060$25.44$62.53
Obama federally charged before 2027? · Yes0.1110.048$22.22$29.78
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2600.085$13.08$26.92
First to 5k: Gold or ETH? · ETH0.3340.000$0.00$44.00
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.1440.000$0.00$30.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00$20.00
Will Ilhan Omar be charged with fraud? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00$10.00
Will Ilhan Omar's husband be charged with fraud? · Yes0.0370.000$0.00$10.00
Ilhan Omar town hall attack staged? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00$62.00
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$20.00
Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31? · Yes0.1780.000$0.00$20.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-22 23:29Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?BUY0.0707737124$125.00
06-01 14:02Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026?BUY0.1419658004$100.00
03-07 12:26Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.2599999966$40.00
03-07 12:23Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?BUY0.014143827$15.00
03-07 12:21Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.1444479002$30.00
03-07 12:20US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?BUY0.25$20.00
03-07 12:20US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?BUY0.089999996$20.00
03-07 12:18Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.1792637726$100.00
02-04 02:23Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?BUY0.2099999993$174.69
02-01 19:03Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?BUY0.2$39.97
01-31 23:48MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3599999946$40.00
01-31 19:41Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?BUY0.5899999991$100.00
01-31 19:40Will anyone be charged over Daycare fraud in Minnesota by June 30?BUY0.5899999989$26.00
01-31 19:39Ilhan Omar federally charged by March 31?BUY0.1778767996$20.00
01-31 04:06Obama federally charged before 2027?BUY0.1476811022$10.00