THEKROWN
0xefaf70e054fd6433f3310a94ada5ebff034ed074
- Realised P&L
- $-4.9k
- Volume
- $42.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $105.46
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes | 0.074 | 0.079 | $105.46 | +$5.46 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 2–4%? · Yes | 0.055 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$125.30 |
| Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? · Yes | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$314.95 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%? · Yes | 0.065 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$250.78 |
| Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1) · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by less than 2%? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.0k |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 17:38 | Will Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2399999992 | $190.88 |
| 02-02 01:27 | Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | BUY | 0.1554211234 | $1000.00 |
| 02-02 01:25 | Will Álvaro Roberto Ramos Chaves win the 2026 Costa Rican presidential election? | BUY | 0.12 | $3.0k |
| 02-02 01:22 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.0744345994 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 01:20 | Will Trump say "Midterm Election" this week? (February 1) | BUY | 0.0997510414 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 01:15 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.1403910694 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 01:15 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by less than 2%? | BUY | 0.1066158824 | $200.00 |
| 02-02 00:58 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.0740066896 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 00:58 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.1014937114 | $100.00 |
| 02-02 00:54 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 2–4%? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.33 |
| 02-02 00:48 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.036 | $18.00 |
| 02-02 00:46 | Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the first round by 4–6%? | BUY | 0.003 | $1.25 |