0x0213b9F55EE49ba498978869374024E90229Fa78-1764785561568
0x0213b9f55ee49ba498978869374024e90229fa78
- Realised P&L
- $-164.30
- Volume
- $4.5k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $158.64
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration58.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? · Yes | 0.094 | 0.079 | $92.49 | −$18.59 |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? · Yes | 0.085 | 0.029 | $66.15 | −$127.77 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-15.00at 0.015Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-16 19:46 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.0606965293 | $10.38 |
| 07-16 19:43 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0773086449 | $26.22 |
| 06-26 15:42 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.0565254414 | $11.55 |
| 06-18 15:17 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.057713054 | $10.66 |
| 06-12 15:47 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0707021165 | $9.74 |
| 05-28 12:40 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0789999967 | $20.00 |
| 05-16 09:16 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.0611028562 | $27.21 |
| 03-17 14:12 | 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | BUY | 0.1087001379 | $100.09 |
| 03-15 23:18 | Major volcano eruption (VEI ≥6) in 2026? | BUY | 0.1110353439 | $89.15 |
| 12-17 01:44 | Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair? | BUY | 0.015 | $15.00 |