PolyBot

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Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends
2027-01-01
Rewards
100 min size · 3.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.12. up 0.02 over the period, from 0.10. Range 0.09 to 0.13. 145 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.13131131
0.1420151
0.2350201
0.3215216
0.384220
0.398228
0.4010238
0.4112250
0.4525275
0.464279
0.508288
0.58100388

Spread0.03Mid0.12

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.103,3013,301
0.09613,362
0.081,0254,387
0.072,0356,422
0.063336,755
0.051,9008,655
0.042,85311,508
0.035,59217,100
0.027,45124,551
0.0119,25743,808

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.903,3013,301
0.91613,362
0.921,0254,387
0.932,0356,422
0.943336,755
0.951,9008,655
0.962,85311,508
0.975,59217,100
0.987,45124,551
0.9919,25743,808

Spread0.03Mid0.89

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.87131131
0.8620151
0.7750201
0.6815216
0.624220
0.618228
0.6010238
0.5912250
0.5525275
0.544279
0.508288
0.42100388

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
VilgefortzYes11,600
KimJonEnYes1,925.56
xtxpleasecallmeYes1,514.2
FridayYes1,099.99
0xc7D02944A76B9F83B199e9090ECC92C82d241F8a-1776944395495Yes885.73
ImJustKenYes719.3
cqsYes715.56
SynchronisedYes629.58
PCMTestYes628.01
0xdc3E831cadYes500
NewshoundYes500
KingZeManelYes449.96
LornaPredictsYes387.6
troythrap69Yes348.25
dsoperativeYes300
ooopsYes300
debasedYes268.15
MetusalemYes201.43
kirby26Yes130
mini-manYes123.4

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
16:19:03BUYNo0.91$1.00
12:27:48BUYNo0.91,461$1315.03
16:43:42BUYNo0.9183$164.70
04:38:50SELLYes0.10011512292,606$260.89
16:36:02BUYNo0.89100$89.00
04:55:54BUYNo0.8944$39.16
14:48:21SELLNo0.8958502233116$104.31
21:54:59SELLNo0.95$4.50
16:19:56BUYNo0.909999999133$30.00
14:49:21SELLNo0.994$84.93
01:18:05SELLNo0.8985$75.65
23:44:45SELLNo0.891$0.99
23:44:41SELLNo0.8933$29.24
23:44:39SELLNo0.893$2.25
23:44:38SELLNo0.926$23.77
23:44:38SELLNo0.9133$119.30
16:21:18SELLNo0.914$12.67
14:55:47SELLNo0.934$30.56
11:44:48SELLNo0.9134$120.65
11:44:47SELLNo0.9500$450.00
01:42:28BUYYes0.120$2.00
01:11:44SELLYes0.099$0.79
00:58:29BUYYes0.132$3.20
22:25:49BUYYes0.099966666730$3.00
22:25:16BUYYes0.0921$1.89