Synchronised
0xf1c5e59dd7af01a0bccadedfd2af83aa96d8626d
- Realised P&L
- $145.74
- Volume
- $55.2k
- Markets traded
- 118
- Open portfolio
- $959.36
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded118
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$294.32at 0.753Will Stable launch a token in 2025?
- +$283.00at 0.331Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?
- +$216.00at 0.398Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
- +$206.02at 0.462Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$155.54at 0.753Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-23 11:41 | Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.29 | $87.00 |
| 04-22 18:48 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.45 | $67.50 |
| 04-10 13:49 | Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.025 | $15.00 |
| 04-08 23:30 | Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $11.00 |
| 04-08 23:30 | Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $1.07 |
| 04-07 20:31 | Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.051 | $10.20 |
| 04-07 20:26 | Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament? | BUY | 0.14 | $35.00 |
| 03-20 00:25 | Fed rate hike in 2026? | BUY | 0.8311338 | $415.57 |
| 03-07 15:21 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $47.00 |
| 03-07 12:03 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.94 | $94.00 |
| 03-06 18:43 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | SELL | 0.26 | $160.08 |
| 03-05 09:09 | US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? | BUY | 0.32 | $197.03 |
| 03-03 18:28 | Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | BUY | 0.885 | $174.70 |
| 02-15 20:46 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0456808511 | $4.29 |
| 02-15 19:25 | Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.389198 | $38.92 |