PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Synchronised

0xf1c5e59dd7af01a0bccadedfd2af83aa96d8626d

Realised P&L
$-79.85
Volume
$55.5k
Markets traded
118
Open portfolio
$670.22

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded118
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration23.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Predict.fun FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1200.320$160.00+$100.00
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2370.455$119.44+$57.19
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? · Yes0.5670.185$116.47$240.23
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? · No0.6900.915$91.50+$22.50
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2000.375$84.38+$39.38
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · No0.7500.982$49.08+$11.57
OKX IPO in 2026? · Yes0.2800.055$43.01$175.64
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? · Yes0.2900.018$5.55$81.45
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.2100.004$0.40$20.60
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? · Yes0.1100.004$0.40$10.60
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1340.000$0.00$133.97
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.7200.000$0.00$144.00
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.8320.000$0.00$220.54
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? · Yes0.4030.000$0.00$66.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-10 12:40Fed rate hike in 2026?SELL0.24$10.74
04-23 11:41Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?BUY0.29$87.00
04-22 18:48Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch?SELL0.45$67.50
04-10 13:49Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.025$15.00
04-08 23:30Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.11$11.00
04-08 23:30Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?BUY0.21$1.07
04-07 20:31Will Ludvig Aberg win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.051$10.20
04-07 20:26Will Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY0.14$35.00
03-20 00:25Fed rate hike in 2026?BUY0.8311338$415.57
03-07 15:21Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.94$47.00
03-07 12:03Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?BUY0.94$94.00
03-06 18:43US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?SELL0.26$160.08
03-05 09:09US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?BUY0.32$197.03
03-03 18:28Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?BUY0.885$174.70
02-15 20:46Flying Tulip FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?BUY0.0456808511$4.29