Will there be a Hormuz agreement by October 23, oil below $80, and the Democrats win the Senate?

Tick: 0.001
Min order: 5
Fees: 0.04 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.00 · takers only
Ends: 2026-11-04
Rewards: 200 min size · 1.5¢ max spread

Price history

charttable

Yes. Currently 0.035. up 0.011 over the period, from 0.025. Range 0.025 to 0.035. 20 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live

Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.036	2,200	2,200
0.037	8,003	10,203
0.038	96,987	107,190
0.039	27,292	134,483
0.040	42,418	176,901
0.041	60,271	237,172
0.042	600	237,772
0.043	618	238,390
0.044	50,035	288,424
0.045	18,017	306,441
0.046	419	306,860
0.059	10	306,870

Spread0.001Mid0.036

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.035	300	300
0.034	4,508	4,808
0.033	8,100	12,908
0.032	22,516	35,424
0.031	77,036	112,460
0.030	27,346	139,806
0.029	118,448	258,254
0.028	72,509	330,763
0.027	174,999	505,761
0.026	130,799	636,560
0.025	859	637,419
0.023	5	637,424

No

Live

No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.965	300	300
0.966	4,508	4,808
0.967	8,100	12,908
0.968	22,516	35,424
0.969	77,036	112,460
0.970	27,346	139,806
0.971	118,448	258,254
0.972	72,509	330,763
0.973	174,999	505,761
0.974	130,799	636,560
0.975	859	637,419
0.977	5	637,424

Spread0.001Mid0.964

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
Price	Size	Total
0.964	2,200	2,200
0.963	8,003	10,203
0.962	96,987	107,190
0.961	27,292	134,483
0.960	42,418	176,901
0.959	60,271	237,172
0.958	600	237,772
0.957	618	238,390
0.956	50,035	288,424
0.955	18,017	306,441
0.954	419	306,860
0.941	10	306,870

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
Holder	Outcome	Shares
SRploy	Yes	5,000
SINISTERPETE	Yes	3,157.06
xinyuan	Yes	2,900
0xa169…1b73	Yes	401.62
Numitus1994	Yes	201
thecaricature	Yes	200
BunCaCham	No	3,736
laureman	No	3,000
Haradwaith	No	1,300
Car	No	816.39
Sponsinator	No	800
Tenebrus7	No	600
20260601	No	599
JokerTheClown	No	500
0xa5ef…2966	No	277.33
garbagefriends	No	81.63
Dr.PNL	No	48.23
NellyDora	No	37.9
Lolakis	No	26.95
0xb6ce…895d	No	15

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
Time	Side	Outcome	Price	Size	Value
12:41:31	SELL	Yes	0.035	55	$1.93
12:08:46	BUY	Yes	0.036	200	$7.20
10:53:32	SELL	Yes	0.035	16	$0.57
09:15:35	BUY	No	0.9649997514	2	$1.65
09:05:29	BUY	No	0.965	3,000	$2895.00
08:03:26	SELL	No	0.964	3,736	$3601.50
06:22:34	BUY	Yes	0.036	2,900	$104.40
05:57:54	SELL	No	0.965	200	$193.00
05:43:16	SELL	No	0.965	200	$193.00
05:43:15	SELL	No	0.965	200	$193.00
05:43:07	SELL	No	0.965	200	$193.00
05:43:06	BUY	Yes	0.0349598	5,000	$174.80
04:30:26	BUY	Yes	0.035	201	$7.04
04:25:50	SELL	No	0.965	282	$272.13
04:25:39	SELL	No	0.965	283	$273.09
04:25:30	SELL	No	0.965	570	$550.05
04:25:21	SELL	No	0.966	5	$4.83
04:25:09	SELL	No	0.967	200	$193.40
02:31:05	BUY	No	0.968	6	$5.63
02:30:45	BUY	No	0.9679996902	1	$1.10
02:30:42	SELL	No	0.967	58	$56.29
02:25:11	BUY	No	0.97	6	$5.89
02:24:45	BUY	No	0.97	76	$73.54
02:24:33	BUY	No	0.9699997635	3	$3.24
02:24:33	BUY	No	0.97	38	$36.76