PolyBot

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Traders

NellyDora

0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$1.14M
Markets traded
1,130
Open portfolio
$5.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,130
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · No0.8410.835$1.1k$8.32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No0.9400.935$402.34$2.15
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? · No0.9440.942$282.70$0.75
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? · No0.9620.962$240.38$0.13
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.9540.935$174.00$3.59
Trump goes to space in 2026? · No0.9760.977$170.54+$0.25
Putin meets with Iranian officials by December 31? · Yes0.9860.985$169.79$0.23
Russia coup attempt in 2026? · No0.9400.945$141.75+$0.75
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? · No0.9200.925$129.78+$0.70
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · Yes0.5940.185$129.04$285.11
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No0.9700.974$113.27+$0.51
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? · No0.9080.945$112.53+$4.37
Trump meets with Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? · No0.9830.978$108.59$0.57
Iran Nuke before 2027? · No0.8960.948$100.31+$5.53
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.9530.954$98.67+$0.06

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 07:51Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?SELL0.93$106.91
09-15 21:00Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$1.15
09-15 19:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$7.49
09-15 19:42Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$1.19
09-15 19:40US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027?BUY0.43$84.77
09-15 18:23Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$1.19
09-15 17:37Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$0.10
09-15 17:33US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30?SELL0.9937413127$64.34
09-15 16:58Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$1.21
09-15 16:32Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.82$40.98
09-15 14:11Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$1.21
09-15 13:49Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$0.08
09-15 13:29Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$0.08
09-15 13:17Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$0.04
09-15 13:16Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?SELL0.92$33.28