NellyDora
0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $1.14M
- Markets traded
- 1,130
- Open portfolio
- $5.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,130
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration19.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.010Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$997.30at 0.949US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$806.33at 0.789US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$530.43at 0.235Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$488.47at 0.979Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 07:51 | Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $106.91 |
| 09-15 21:00 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.15 |
| 09-15 19:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $7.49 |
| 09-15 19:42 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 19:40 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by March 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.43 | $84.77 |
| 09-15 18:23 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.19 |
| 09-15 17:37 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.10 |
| 09-15 17:33 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 30? | SELL | 0.9937413127 | $64.34 |
| 09-15 16:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.21 |
| 09-15 16:32 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.82 | $40.98 |
| 09-15 14:11 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $1.21 |
| 09-15 13:49 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 13:29 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.08 |
| 09-15 13:17 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $0.04 |
| 09-15 13:16 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.92 | $33.28 |