NellyDora
0xca972cdf160266af59af5ad84d0577cb3ac75409
- Realised P&L
- $2.4k
- Volume
- $987.2k
- Markets traded
- 923
- Open portfolio
- $3.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded923
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.7kat 0.010Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?
- +$997.30at 0.949US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$806.33at 0.789US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$530.43at 0.235Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
- +$488.40at 0.979Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:41 | Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | SELL | 0.52 | $22.28 |
| 08-03 00:55 | Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $1.06 |
| 08-02 21:47 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.5479218833 | $62.15 |
| 08-02 21:25 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.574 | $0.41 |
| 08-02 21:24 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.572 | $6.07 |
| 08-02 21:22 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $0.38 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $1.81 |
| 08-02 21:21 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.5712742718 | $2.35 |
| 08-02 21:20 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.5720283976 | $2.82 |
| 08-02 21:15 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | SELL | 0.57 | $10.68 |
| 08-02 18:32 | Will Donald Trump be the #1 searched person on Google this year? | BUY | 0.92 | $41.63 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? | BUY | 0.6573858772 | $32.86 |
| 08-02 16:44 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | BUY | 0.12 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 16:43 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $13.75 |
| 08-02 16:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? | SELL | 0.11 | $13.75 |