PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on November 1?

Tick
0.01
Min order
5
Fees
0.05 · 100 @ 0.50 = $1.25 · takers only
Ends
2026-11-01
Resolves by
https://aviationweather.gov/api/data/metar?ids=KSFO&format=raw&date=2026-11-02T11:00:00Z&hours=30
Rewards
20 min size · 4.5¢ max spread

Price history

Price history view
Yes. Currently 0.81. up 0.58 over the period, from 0.23. Range 0.23 to 0.81. 47 points.

Order book

Not connected

Yes

Live
Yes asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.8955
0.901015
0.91520
0.92828
0.93835
0.953065
0.9786151
0.9958209

Spread0.15Mid0.81

Yes bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.741515
0.72520
0.71525
0.523459
0.512079
0.0576156
0.04100256
0.03100356
0.025361
0.0185446

No

Live
No asks — sell orders. Worst price first; the best ask is the last row, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.261515
0.28520
0.29525
0.483459
0.492079
0.9576156
0.96100256
0.97100356
0.985361
0.9985446

Spread0.15Mid0.18

No bids — buy orders. Best bid first, nearest the spread.
PriceSizeTotal
0.1155
0.101015
0.09520
0.08828
0.07835
0.053065
0.0386151
0.0158209

Top holders

Largest holders, grouped by outcome then position size. Up to 20 per outcome, measured in shares.
HolderOutcomeShares
241532532432Yes355.15
HellYeahTraderYes306.52
yellowhpYes181.08
OnlyLuckNoBrainYes175.2
rubby-always-winsYes169.07
TakeYourTemperatureYes124.15
hn54pVpVmJsjn2CAYes106.97
kerbrervYes93.52
ThermomenalYes92.97
gghffYes85
Z7dk3Yes75
PoligarchYes60.27
RiskyMoolahYes60
PintouOClimaYes55.56
0xb2e42D29690B7B63335a03C0Fd5E64Df0681B7f1-1778811987251Yes54.57
0x973Yes54.19
newbie147Yes45
BobbythePugYes40
ClusiusYes39
archi54570Yes35

Recent trades

Most recent trades on this market, newest first.
TimeSideOutcomePriceSizeValue
22:11:27BUYYes0.8599999141$1.00
22:06:13BUYYes0.75415$3.77
22:06:07BUYYes0.715$3.68
21:58:48BUYNo0.51510$5.15
21:42:55BUYNo0.3211$3.55
21:41:45BUYNo0.205533980610$2.12
21:23:28BUYYes0.737$5.11
21:23:24BUYYes0.685$3.40
21:20:57BUYNo0.360099736321$7.60
21:17:54BUYYes0.7322$16.06
21:16:33BUYYes0.72413446021$1.00
21:16:19BUYYes0.75$3.50
21:12:39BUYYes0.59999997247$4.34
21:12:34BUYYes0.599999987616$9.68
21:12:34BUYYes0.5815$8.70
21:10:30BUYYes0.585$2.90
21:10:28BUYYes0.565$2.80
21:09:54BUYYes0.536$3.01
21:09:54BUYYes0.537$3.71
21:07:09BUYYes0.5499999457$4.00
21:06:30BUYYes0.4820$9.60
21:05:37BUYNo0.5118$9.18
21:05:37BUYNo0.5320$10.60
21:05:07BUYYes0.667$4.29
21:05:00BUYYes0.6613$8.58