0x973
0x8d6004b697233bf4eb3b82f22b281d9c0209a7a5
- Realised P&L
- $-144.55
- Volume
- $133.1k
- Markets traded
- 3,277
- Open portfolio
- $355.71
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,277
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration6.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$53.16at 0.688Will France win on 2026-06-16?
- +$36.50at 0.968US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?
- +$28.10at 0.063Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 4?
- +$25.90at 0.137Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 7?
- +$24.65at 0.178Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on July 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 23:58 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 37°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 22:56 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 39°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.31 | $2.21 |
| 08-03 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 20:04 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 35°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.29 | $5.16 |
| 08-03 20:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 08-03 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.59 | $8.85 |
| 08-03 07:57 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.20 |
| 08-03 04:01 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.45 | $9.00 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.50 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $3.60 |
| 08-03 01:15 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.76 | $7.60 |
| 08-02 23:43 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.22 | $1.10 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.56 | $2.80 |
| 08-02 21:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.67 | $9.38 |
| 08-02 21:02 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 40°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.24 | $2.40 |