Thermomenal
0xac7ab4cc2d0a83f621ed89f63c722e76fbe104ff
- Realised P&L
- $1.01
- Volume
- $3.3k
- Markets traded
- 63
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded63
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.78at 0.371Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20?
- +$0.00at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 20?
- +$0.00at 0.750Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 19?
- +$-3.63at 0.691Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on October 20?
- +$-4.50at 0.632Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 37°C on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-19 01:35 | Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.5299999975 | $21.49 |
| 10-19 01:30 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2586672957 | $35.81 |
| 10-19 01:23 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.4499999217 | $2.30 |
| 10-19 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.709999996 | $35.81 |
| 10-19 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.47 | $2.35 |
| 10-19 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.7899999991 | $71.35 |
| 10-19 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.8099999983 | $71.35 |
| 10-19 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.68 | $32.73 |
| 10-19 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.6099999962 | $35.68 |
| 10-19 01:14 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20? | BUY | 0.72 | $37.02 |
| 10-19 01:05 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19? | BUY | 0.315 | $3.15 |
| 10-19 00:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.7199057586 | $21.39 |
| 10-19 00:30 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.24 | $18.96 |
| 10-19 00:12 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20? | BUY | 0.35 | $17.33 |
| 10-19 00:02 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.34 |