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Traders

Thermomenal

0xac7ab4cc2d0a83f621ed89f63c722e76fbe104ff

Realised P&L
$1.01
Volume
$3.3k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)20.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20? · No0.8100.865$76.19+$4.84
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20? · No0.7900.830$74.96+$3.61
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20? · No0.6480.710$59.40+$5.19
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 20? · Yes0.4700.545$57.51+$7.91
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on October 19? · No0.4460.485$50.55+$4.08
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on October 19? · Yes0.2400.335$49.20+$13.95
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 10°C on October 19? · Yes0.3320.950$48.99+$31.85
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 20? · No0.5900.640$48.72+$3.81
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on October 19? · Yes0.5470.600$46.55+$4.12
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 19? · No0.4560.445$45.01−$1.14
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on October 19? · Yes0.4600.565$43.89+$8.16
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19? · Yes0.2590.300$41.53+$5.72
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20? · Yes0.3900.415$40.92+$2.48
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20? · Yes0.6100.695$40.65+$4.97
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on October 20? · Yes0.4720.535$40.47+$4.74

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-19 01:35Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 20?BUY0.5299999975$21.49
10-19 01:30Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on October 19?BUY0.2586672957$35.81
10-19 01:23Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on October 19?BUY0.4499999217$2.30
10-19 01:21Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 20?BUY0.709999996$35.81
10-19 01:18Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 19?BUY0.47$2.35
10-19 01:14Will the highest temperature in Milan be 15°C on October 20?BUY0.7899999991$71.35
10-19 01:14Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 16°C on October 20?BUY0.8099999983$71.35
10-19 01:14Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 20?BUY0.68$32.73
10-19 01:14Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on October 20?BUY0.6099999962$35.68
10-19 01:14Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on October 20?BUY0.72$37.02
10-19 01:05Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 19?BUY0.315$3.15
10-19 00:54Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 20?BUY0.7199057586$21.39
10-19 00:30Will the highest temperature in Manila be 34°C on October 19?BUY0.24$18.96
10-19 00:12Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on October 20?BUY0.35$17.33
10-19 00:02Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 19?BUY0.2$10.34
Trader Thermomenal · PolyBot Pro