hn54pVpVmJsjn2CA
0xd73e4d4a57bf90ce77dd09e2f2fc979016dc4b96
- Realised P&L
- $1.7k
- Volume
- $92.9k
- Markets traded
- 3,587
- Open portfolio
- $991.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- CautionMarkets traded3,587
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration10.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$260.09at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?
- +$225.23at 0.145Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 58-59°F on October 31?
- +$166.23at 0.213Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on October 29?
- +$130.53at 0.136Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 30?
- +$125.19at 0.156Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.229999999 | $28.73 |
| 11-01 23:30 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.4757853318 | $48.00 |
| 11-01 22:00 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 80-81°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.2066814705 | $8.38 |
| 11-01 22:00 | Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 50-51°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.1867679379 | $2.89 |
| 11-01 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.2198766837 | $15.66 |
| 11-01 21:29 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.2401744397 | $27.03 |
| 11-01 21:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 7°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 21:29 | Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.261081475 | $19.76 |
| 11-01 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2785714286 | $9.75 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.2693273518 | $20.02 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.1692417484 | $22.32 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on November 3? | BUY | 0.1988479263 | $17.26 |
| 11-01 20:30 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.5099999516 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 14°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.419999979 | $2.00 |
| 11-01 16:44 | Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.2536585168 | $2.00 |