PolyBot

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Traders

BobbythePug

0x3f302dbb8e2cef9c25ea1cf8980b97711234f8de

Realised P&L
$4.7k
Volume
$412.8k
Markets traded
9,052
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded9,052
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration5.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration7.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.6621.000$240.00+$81.14
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on September 17? · Yes0.6990.790$181.70+$20.88
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 16? · Yes0.5141.000$181.02+$87.96
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on September 16? · Yes0.6751.000$169.46+$55.06
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.6970.655$161.97$10.46
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 16? · Yes0.6551.000$160.00+$55.20
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 16? · Yes0.4111.000$149.40+$88.02
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17? · Yes0.5930.590$141.09$0.80
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 16? · Yes0.6101.000$139.69+$54.55
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 19°C on September 16? · Yes0.7141.000$139.35+$39.80
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 16? · Yes0.6601.000$138.05+$46.94
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17? · Yes0.6860.570$136.26$27.69
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 17? · Yes0.5110.535$135.35+$5.97
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on September 16? · Yes0.4871.000$121.88+$62.51
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on September 16? · Yes0.4561.000$119.94+$65.22

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 04:22Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.37$10.18
09-17 04:13Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.36$15.49
09-17 04:10Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.35$1.75
09-17 03:00Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17?BUY0.72$14.40
09-17 02:37Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.73$5.84
09-17 02:32Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.72$23.34
09-17 01:13Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 17?BUY0.35$1.75
09-17 01:01Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.74$37.00
09-17 00:49Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17?BUY0.718$35.90
09-17 00:35Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 17?BUY0.7$7.00
09-17 00:28Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.6869933854$22.85
09-17 00:27Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.696$34.80
09-17 00:19Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.68$24.00
09-17 00:19Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17?BUY0.688$34.40
09-17 00:16Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on September 17?BUY0.6$30.00