Jerik8s
0xf73bcf8d2a18cd0647c1b7c3dbaddf5015b910bf
- Realised P&L
- $-1.1k
- Volume
- $28.1k
- Markets traded
- 448
- Open portfolio
- $96.78
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded448
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.80at 0.393Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on July 3?
- +$141.07at 0.376Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 4?
- +$117.91at 0.521Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on July 4?
- +$109.16at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on July 3?
- +$80.01at 0.370Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on July 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-08 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.38 | $9.50 |
| 08-08 07:42 | Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.56 |
| 08-08 06:05 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.19 | $9.50 |
| 08-08 06:03 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.52 | $9.36 |
| 08-08 05:35 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 08-08 05:30 | Will the lowest temperature in London be 18°C on August 10? | BUY | 0.28 | $9.52 |
| 08-08 03:11 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.48 | $2.88 |
| 08-08 02:36 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $9.62 |
| 08-08 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.49 | $2.45 |
| 08-08 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.37 | $1.85 |
| 08-08 02:05 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 96-97°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.31 | $9.61 |
| 08-08 02:04 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 9? | BUY | 0.44 | $9.68 |
| 07-06 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on July 6? | SELL | 0.38 | $35.72 |
| 07-06 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 5? | SELL | 0.9978686111 | $107.77 |
| 07-06 03:23 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 9°C on July 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $113.89 |