PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

241532532432

0xce0b1054a2adb61a3efe8bcd42acc8d40154b974

Realised P&L
$239.43
Volume
$2.7k
Markets traded
55
Open portfolio
$715.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar8.9%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded55
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration79.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 23? · No0.9291.000$99.95+$7.06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23? · No0.7330.965$60.80+$14.62
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on September 23? · No0.9681.000$49.98+$1.55
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on September 23? · No0.9300.997$49.85+$3.35
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on September 23? · No0.9200.945$47.25+$1.25
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 24? · No0.9530.925$46.25$1.40
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 23? · No0.9600.905$45.25$2.75
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 23? · Yes0.2520.685$43.84+$27.68
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 23? · No0.9300.820$37.72$5.06
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 23? · No0.6190.920$28.52+$9.33
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24? · No0.9700.965$27.02$0.14
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 23? · No0.9000.997$23.92+$2.32
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 23? · No0.7580.605$22.39$5.66
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23? · No0.6570.785$21.98+$3.58
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 24? · No0.9200.930$18.60+$0.20

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 17:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on September 24?BUY0.87$6.96
09-23 17:47Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 24?BUY0.21$2.52
09-23 17:35Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 23?BUY0.34$2.04
09-23 17:21Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?BUY0.97$19.40
09-23 16:46Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 24?BUY0.29$2.32
09-23 16:43Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23?BUY0.31$4.34
09-23 16:05Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 68-69°F on September 24?BUY0.92$18.40
09-23 16:02Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 23?BUY0.04$1.36
09-23 15:37Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23?BUY0.3$3.90
09-23 15:09Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 24?BUY0.97$7.76
09-23 15:03Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23?BUY0.19$1.52
09-23 14:55Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on September 23?BUY0.21$1.68
09-23 14:38Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 23?BUY0.73$4.38
09-23 14:37Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 76-77°F on September 23?BUY0.29$3.77
09-23 13:42Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 23?BUY0.9$21.60