PolyBot

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Traders

Poligarch

0xb40e89677d59665d5188541ad860450a6e2a7cc9

Realised P&L
$182.4k
Volume
$26.23M
Markets traded
42,699
Open portfolio
$51.5k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded42,699
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
ClearProfit concentration24.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration5.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-07 04:12Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.978$17.5k
07-05 07:54Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to AdvanceBUY0.61$61.00
07-05 07:54Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceBUY0.15$15.00
07-05 07:53United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5$50.00
07-05 07:51Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceBUY0.46$46.00
07-04 16:38Canada vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.72$36.00
06-30 01:47Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to AdvanceBUY0.65$65.00
06-30 01:15Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4$40.00
06-30 01:15Netherlands vs. Morocco: Team to AdvanceBUY0.43$43.00
06-23 03:59Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.66$58.81
06-23 03:05Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.87$87.00
06-23 03:03Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.4$40.00
06-23 03:00Will France win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.78$78.00
06-23 02:58Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.45$45.00
06-23 02:55Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.77$77.00