0xb2e42d29690b7b63335a03c0fd5e64df0681b7f1
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 57,472
- Open portfolio
- $2.3k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- BlockerMarkets traded57,472
- Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.5kat 0.064Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
- +$7.4kat 0.021Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
- +$6.8kat 0.010Will England win on 2026-07-05?
- +$6.8kat 0.193Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$5.7kat 0.075Will Moderate Party (M) win between 18% and 20% of all valid votes?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-02 21:17 | Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $0.05 |
| 11-02 21:15 | Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.989 | $20.17 |
| 11-02 21:13 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.92 | $4.66 |
| 11-02 21:12 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.8298656542 | $14.21 |
| 11-02 21:06 | Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? | BUY | 0.999 | $64.28 |
| 11-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.80 |
| 11-02 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $26.30 |
| 11-02 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.7730039157 | $41.46 |
| 11-02 21:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.31 |
| 11-02 21:00 | Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m? | BUY | 0.7064316239 | $9.92 |
| 11-02 20:58 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $21.29 |
| 11-02 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2? | BUY | 0.85 | $19.80 |
| 11-02 20:53 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.90 |
| 11-02 20:51 | Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.28 | $112.17 |
| 11-02 20:50 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3? | BUY | 0.962 | $3.39 |