PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xb2e42d29690b7b63335a03c0fd5e64df0681b7f1

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
57,472
Open portfolio
$2.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
BlockerMarkets traded57,472
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration94.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)14.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration18.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-13 House seat? · No0.6090.655$424.22+$29.89
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? · No0.7650.755$295.89−$3.83
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · No0.2240.155$210.46−$93.15
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-01 House seat? · No0.8050.795$200.90−$2.63
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.2T and 1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? · Yes0.1430.079$112.73−$92.42
Will the Democratic Party win the MD-01 House seat? · No0.8640.875$88.82+$1.16
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · No0.5720.586$78.54+$1.83
Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.9990.999$67.03−$0.03
Will Aleksandar Repić win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.9980.998$67.00−$0.01
Will Anton Rop win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.9920.991$66.53−$0.07
Will Klemen Boštjančič win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.9920.989$66.39−$0.20
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? · Yes0.0190.539$56.34+$54.37
Will Luka Mesec win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election? · No0.6210.620$54.29−$0.12
Will the Democrats win the Oklahoma governor race in 2026? · No0.9200.915$45.84−$0.23
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? · Yes0.8250.853$42.36+$1.39

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-02 21:17Will the Democrats win the Illinois Senate race in 2026?BUY0.009$0.05
11-02 21:15Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on November 3?BUY0.989$20.17
11-02 21:13Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 4°C on November 3?BUY0.92$4.66
11-02 21:12Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on November 2?BUY0.8298656542$14.21
11-02 21:06Will Aleš Primc win the 2026 Ljubljana mayoral election?BUY0.999$64.28
11-02 21:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on November 3?BUY0.964$5.80
11-02 21:01Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on November 3?BUY0.998$26.30
11-02 21:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on November 3?BUY0.7730039157$41.46
11-02 21:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 4°C on November 3?BUY0.999$20.31
11-02 21:00Will "Godzilla Minus Zero" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 28m and 31m?BUY0.7064316239$9.92
11-02 20:58Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on November 2?BUY0.998$21.29
11-02 20:54Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on November 2?BUY0.85$19.80
11-02 20:53Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 22°C or higher on November 2?BUY0.999$3.90
11-02 20:51Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.28$112.17
11-02 20:50Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 17°C on November 3?BUY0.962$3.39